The Most Important Games for the Cincinnati Bearcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bearcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cincinnati Bearcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cincinnati Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Cincinnati (14‑7) vs Houston (19‑2) |
16 | Cincinnati Wins | 2% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 21% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 26% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Houston Wins | <1% | 4% | 13% | 19% | 24% | 27% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Temple (13‑9) vs UCF (13‑7) |
3 | Temple Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 25% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 26% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCF Wins | 1% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tulsa (5‑14) vs Memphis (16‑5) |
1 | Tulsa Wins | 1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 25% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 26% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Memphis Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 26% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Methodist (6‑13) vs South Florida (9‑12) |
1 | Southern Methodist Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 27% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 26% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Florida Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 26% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| E. Carolina (11‑10) vs Wichita St. (10‑10) |
0 | E. Carolina Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 27% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 26% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wichita St. Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 27% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||