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Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Colonial Athletic Basketball - Week 14 of 16

Charleston Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Charleston Cougars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cougars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Charleston Cougars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Charleston Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Charleston Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NT
Monmouth
(4‑20)

vs
Stony Brook
(8‑16)
0 Monmouth Wins 32% 51% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 32% 51% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Stony Brook Wins 33% 51% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Delaware
(12‑13)

vs
Drexel
(13‑11)
0 Delaware Wins 33% 51% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 32% 51% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Drexel Wins 32% 51% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Charleston
(22‑3)

vs
UNC Wilmington
(19‑6)
0 Charleston Wins 43% 53% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 32% 51% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
UNC Wilmington Wins 12% 50% 33% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Elon
(5‑19)

vs
N. Carolina A&T
(11‑14)
0 Elon Wins 32% 51% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 32% 51% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
N. Carolina A&T Wins 32% 51% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
NortheasternN. Eastern
(8‑14)

vs
Hofstra
(17‑8)
0 NortheasternN. Eastern Wins 59% 27% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 32% 51% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Hofstra Wins 27% 56% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Towson
(16‑8)

vs
Hampton
(6‑18)
0 Towson Wins 32% 50% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 32% 51% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Hampton Wins 34% 53% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament