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Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Colonial Athletic Basketball - Week 14 of 16

Elon Phoenix Standings

Where are the Elon Phoenix going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Elon standings table presents the probabilities of the Phoenix winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Colonial Athletic Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NT
Hofstra 10i
Hofstra Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 @  Elon            82-65 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  Charleston      85-81 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs Towson          76-72 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Stony Brook     79-58 
     Wed, Feb 08 @  N. Eastern     
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Monmouth       
     Mon, Feb 13 vs Drexel         
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Hampton        

2 12 64% 30% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Charleston 10
Charleston Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 21 @  N. Eastern      87-61 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Hofstra         81-85 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  Drexel          69-70 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 @  Delaware        84-67 
     Wed, Feb 08 vs UNC Wilmington 
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Hampton        
     Mon, Feb 13 vs N. Eastern     
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Elon           

2 12 32% 51% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
UNC Wilmington 9
UNC Wilmington Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 21 @  Stony Brook     62-51 
Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Monmouth        52-49 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs NC A&T          87-63 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 @  William & Mary  70-63 
     Wed, Feb 08 @  Charleston     
     Sat, Feb 11 vs N. Eastern     
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Drexel         
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Delaware       

3 12 2% 12% 50% 31% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Towson 8
Towson Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 21 @  Elon            66-62 
Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs N. Eastern      72-63 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs William & Mary  92-73 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  Hofstra         72-76 
     Wed, Feb 08 vs Hampton        
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Drexel         
     Mon, Feb 13 @  William & Mary 
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Delaware       

3 11 1% 6% 28% 48% 12% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Drexel 7
Drexel Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  NC A&T          55-68 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Elon            58-72 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs Charleston      70-69 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Monmouth        67-69 
     Wed, Feb 08 @  Delaware       
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Towson         
     Mon, Feb 13 @  Hofstra        
     Thu, Feb 16 vs UNC Wilmington 

5 12 <1% <1% 3% 10% 34% 39% 10% 3% 1% <1% <1%
N. Carolina A&T 6
N. Carolina A&T Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 21 @  William & Mary  90-86 
Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Drexel          68-55 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Monmouth        64-79 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  UNC Wilmington  63-87 
     Wed, Feb 08 vs Elon           
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Stony Brook    
     Mon, Feb 13 @  Monmouth       
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Towson         

6 12 <1% <1% <1% 7% 41% 30% 11% 6% 3% 1% 1%
Stony Brook 4
Stony Brook Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  William & Mary  74-77 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  Hampton         71-66 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Elon            55-69 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Hofstra         58-79 
     Wed, Feb 08 vs Monmouth       
     Sat, Feb 11 vs NC A&T         
     Mon, Feb 13 @  Delaware       
     Thu, Feb 16 vs William & Mary 

7 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 14% 18% 19% 36%
NortheasternN. Eastern 4
Northeastern Recent Games

Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Charleston      61-87 
Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  Towson          63-72 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Delaware        78-81 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Elon            73-74 
     Wed, Feb 08 vs Hofstra        
     Sat, Feb 11 @  UNC Wilmington 
     Mon, Feb 13 @  Charleston     
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Monmouth       

7 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 12% 17% 19% 42%
Delaware 4
Delaware Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  Hampton         66-67 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs N. Eastern      81-78 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  Monmouth        62-70 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Charleston      67-84 
     Wed, Feb 08 vs Drexel         
     Mon, Feb 13 vs Stony Brook    
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Towson         
     Sat, Feb 18 vs UNC Wilmington 

8 12 X <1% <1% <1% 5% 11% 23% 20% 15% 11% 15%
William & Mary 4
William & Mary Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Stony Brook     77-74 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Towson          73-92 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  Hampton         57-62 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs UNC Wilmington  63-70 
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Elon           
     Mon, Feb 13 vs Towson         
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Stony Brook    
     Sat, Feb 18 @  N. Eastern     

8 12 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 26% 23% 16% 12% 14%
 
Hampton 3
Hampton Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Delaware        67-66 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Stony Brook     66-71 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs William & Mary  62-57 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Norfolk St.     71-83 
     Wed, Feb 08 @  Towson         
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Charleston     
     Mon, Feb 13 @  Elon           
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Hofstra        

8 11 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 11% 77%
Monmouth 3
Monmouth Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  UNC Wilmington  49-52 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  NC A&T          79-64 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs Delaware        70-62 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Drexel          69-67 
     Wed, Feb 08 @  Stony Brook    
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Hofstra        
     Mon, Feb 13 vs NC A&T         
     Thu, Feb 16 @  N. Eastern     

8 11 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 10% 12% 14% 51%
Elon 3
Elon Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs Hofstra         65-82 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Drexel          72-58 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  Stony Brook     69-55 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 @  N. Eastern      74-73 
     Wed, Feb 08 @  NC A&T         
     Sat, Feb 11 vs William & Mary 
     Mon, Feb 13 vs Hampton        
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Charleston     

8 11 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 11% 14% 63%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(13) Phoenix 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 1%
(10)William & Mary 4 8 10%
(9)Delaware 4 8 8%
(7)Stony Brook 4 7 5%
(8)NortheasternN. Eastern 4 7 4%
(12)Monmouth 3 8 4%
(6)N. Carolina A&T 6 6 3%
(5)Drexel 7 5 2%
(11)Hampton 3 8 1%
(4)Towson 8 3 <1%
(1)Hofstra 10 2 <1%
(2)Charleston 10 2 <1%
(3)UNC Wilmington 9 3 <1%
Elimination 63%



Phoenix Conference Schedule
Current Week 14
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
8 Drexel
(13‑11)
50‑62 Away Thu Dec 29, 4:00 pm
8 Delaware
(12‑13)
52‑57 Away Sat Dec 31, 2:00 pm
9 UNC Wilmington
(19‑6)
66‑81 Home Wed Jan 4, 7:00 pm
10 N. Carolina A&T
(11‑14)
71‑80 Home Wed Jan 11, 7:00 pm
10 Charleston
(22‑3)
60‑78 Away Sat Jan 14, 4:00 pm
11 UNC Wilmington
(19‑6)
54‑62 Away Mon Jan 16, 7:00 pm
11 Towson
(16‑8)
62‑66 Home Sat Jan 21, 4:00 pm
12 Hofstra
(17‑8)
65‑82 Home Thu Jan 26, 7:00 pm
12 Drexel
(13‑11)
72‑58 Home Sat Jan 28, 4:00 pm
13 Stony Brook
(8‑16)
69‑55 Away Thu Feb 2, 7:00 pm
13 NortheasternN. Eastern
(8‑14)
74‑73 Away Sat Feb 4, 2:00 pm
14 N. Carolina A&T
(11‑14)
  Away Wed Feb 8, 7:00 pm
14 William & Mary
(9‑16)
  Home Sat Feb 11, 2:00 pm
15 Hampton
(6‑18)
  Home Mon Feb 13, 9:00 pm
15 Charleston
(22‑3)
  Home Thu Feb 16, 7:00 pm
15 Monmouth
(4‑20)
  Away Sat Feb 18, 2:00 pm
16 William & Mary
(9‑16)
  Away Thu Feb 23, 7:00 pm
16 Delaware
(12‑13)
  Home Sat Feb 25, 7:00 pm


Phoenix Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 ERSKINE ‑‑ 80‑56 Home Mon Nov 7
1 E. Tennessee St.
(9‑16)
SouthernSouthern 64‑77 Away Fri Nov 11
1 Harvard
(12‑11)
Ivy LeagueIvy League 77‑92 Home Sun Nov 13
2 North Dakota
(8‑17)
SummitSummit 73‑77 Home Thu Nov 17
2 N.C. State
(19‑5)
ACCACC 63‑74 Away Sat Nov 19
3 Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St.
(10‑15)
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 53‑78 Away Tue Nov 22
3 Radford
(16‑9)
Big SouthBig South 53‑69 Home Sun Nov 27
4 High Point
(11‑13)
Big SouthBig South 70‑84 Away Wed Nov 30
4 N.C. Greensboro
(16‑9)
SouthernSouthern 61‑65 Home Sat Dec 3
5 JOHNSON & WALES (NC) ‑‑ 101‑69 Home Sun Dec 11, 2:00 pm
6 PresbyterianPresbyter.
(5‑20)
Big SouthBig South 63‑69 Away Thu Dec 15, 12:00 pm
6 Valparaiso
(10‑15)
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 66‑71 Away Sun Dec 18, 2:00 pm
7 Indiana
(16‑7)
Big 10Big 10 72‑96 Away Tue Dec 20, 7:00 pm