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Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Colonial Athletic Basketball - Week 14 of 16

Hofstra What If?

The Hofstra Pride What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Hofstra plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Hofstra What If?

Next Game - Northeastern (8‑14)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NT
Win Next Game 11 2 71% 26% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 10 2 64% 30% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Lose Next Game 10 3 34% 53% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NT
Current Standings 64% 30% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Best Case Scenario
None
Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NT
6 of 6 100% 16 2 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 6 83% 15 3 62% 38% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 6 67% 14 4 15% 79% 7% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 6 50% 13 5 1% 49% 47% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 6 33% 12 6 <1% 9% 51% 35% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 6 17% 11 7 <1% <1% 13% 48% 34% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
0 of 6 0% 10 8 X X <1% 13% 50% 35% 1% <1% X <1% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament