The Towson Tigers What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Towson plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 3 | 1% | 7% | 29% | 49% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 3 | 1% | 6% | 28% | 48% | 12% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 4 | <1% | 2% | 21% | 50% | 18% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 1% | 7% | 29% | 49% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 1% | 6% | 28% | 48% | 12% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 21% | 50% | 18% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Towson beats Hampton |
Worst Case Scenario Hampton beats Towson |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 15 | 3 | 25% | 75% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 14 | 4 | 3% | 39% | 54% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 13 | 5 | <1% | 4% | 66% | 30% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 12 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 28% | 67% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 11 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 65% | 28% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 10 | 8 | X | X | <1% | 25% | 51% | 23% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 9 | 9 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 20% | 56% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 21% | 41% | 32% | 5% | <1% | <1% |