PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jan 28 7:45 pm

Colonial Athletic Basketball - Week 13 of 16

William & Mary Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the William & Mary Tribe are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tribe final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. William & Mary Tribe fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

William & Mary Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
William & Mary Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NT
William & Mary
(8‑14)

vs
Hampton
(5‑17)
23 William & Mary Wins <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 17% 24% 22% 14% 7% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 14% 21% 23% 16% 10% 4%
Hampton Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 20% 26% 20% 14% 7%
Charleston
(21‑2)

vs
Drexel
(12‑10)
4 Charleston Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 14% 21% 23% 15% 10% 5%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 14% 21% 23% 16% 10% 4%
Drexel Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 12% 23% 25% 17% 10% 4%
Monmouth
(2‑20)

vs
Delaware
(12‑10)
3 Monmouth Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 16% 23% 20% 14% 9% 5%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 14% 21% 23% 16% 10% 4%
Delaware Wins <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 14% 21% 24% 17% 10% 4%
UNC Wilmington
(17‑6)

vs
N. Carolina A&T
(11‑13)
2 UNC Wilmington Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 14% 21% 23% 16% 10% 5%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 14% 21% 23% 16% 10% 4%
N. Carolina A&T Wins <1% <1% <1% 3% 6% 13% 22% 24% 17% 10% 4%
Elon
(3‑19)

vs
Stony Brook
(8‑14)
0 Elon Wins <1% <1% <1% 3% 8% 15% 23% 24% 16% 8% 4%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 14% 21% 23% 16% 10% 4%
Stony Brook Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 14% 21% 22% 16% 11% 4%
Hofstra
(15‑8)

vs
Towson
(16‑7)
0 Hofstra Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 8% 14% 22% 23% 16% 10% 4%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 14% 21% 23% 16% 10% 4%
Towson Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 14% 22% 23% 16% 10% 4%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament