The Most Important Games for the William & Mary Tribe are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tribe final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. William & Mary Tribe fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
William & Mary Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| William & Mary (8‑14) vs Hampton (5‑17) |
23 | William & Mary Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 17% | 24% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Hampton Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 20% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Charleston (21‑2) vs Drexel (12‑10) |
4 | Charleston Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Drexel Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 25% | 17% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Monmouth (2‑20) vs Delaware (12‑10) |
3 | Monmouth Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 23% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Delaware Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 21% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 4% | ||
| UNC Wilmington (17‑6) vs N. Carolina A&T (11‑13) |
2 | UNC Wilmington Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 4% | ||
| N. Carolina A&T Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 22% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Elon (3‑19) vs Stony Brook (8‑14) |
0 | Elon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Stony Brook Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Hofstra (15‑8) vs Towson (16‑7) |
0 | Hofstra Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Towson Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 4% | ||