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F1 Week 2 of 19 - Regular Season

Adrian Sutil What If?

The Adrian Sutil What If table presents probabilities of different F1 Driver Championship finishes depended upon how Adrian Sutil completes future races. These races include either the next race or all 18 remaining races. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.


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Adrian Sutil What If?

Next Race - Australian Grand Prix at Albert Park

  Resultant
Points
Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)
25 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 40%
Current Standings 0 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 67%
Lose Next Race
(24th Place)
0 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 72%


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 18
Remaining
Races
Resultant
Points
Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
1 450 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 270 > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
5 180 97% 3% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
6 144 60% 34% 6% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
7 108 < 1% 3% 12% 27% 31% 19% 7% 1% < 1% < 1%
9 36 X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
11 0 X X X X X X X X X 100%
13 0 X X X X X X X X X 100%
15 0 X X X X X X X X X 100%
17 0 X X X X X X X X X 100%
19 0 X X X X X X X X X 100%
21 0 X X X X X X X X X 100%
23 0 X X X X X X X X X 100%
24 0 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot


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