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Tue Mar 2 9:30 am

F1 Week 1 of 19 - Regular Season

Fernando Alonso What If?

The Fernando Alonso What If table presents probabilities of different F1 Driver Championship finishes depended upon how Fernando Alonso completes future races. These races include either the next race or all 19 remaining races. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.

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Fernando Alonso What If?

Next Race - Bahrain Grand Prix at Bahrain International Circuit

	Resultant Points	Finishing Spot
	Resultant Points	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Win Next Race (1st Place)	10	12%	10%	8%	8%	7%	6%	6%	5%	5%	33%
Current Standings	0	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	58%
Lose Next Race (22th Place)	0	3%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	63%

Remaining Races

Finish for the 19 Remaining Races	Resultant Points	Finishing Spot
Finish for the 19 Remaining Races	Resultant Points	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
1	190	100%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
3	114	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	^	^	^	^	^
5	76	98%	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	^
6	57	41%	43%	14%	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
7	38	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2%	9%	22%	30%	23%	14%
9	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	> 99%
11	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	> 99%
13	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	> 99%
15	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	> 99%
17	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	> 99%
19	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	> 99%
21	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	> 99%
22	0	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	> 99%

Notes
^ means the driver will finish better than this spot
X means the driver cannot win this spot
50% - probability the driver will win this spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the driver will win this spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot