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F1 Week 2 of 19 - Regular Season

Lewis Hamilton What If?

The Lewis Hamilton What If table presents probabilities of different F1 Driver Championship finishes depended upon how Lewis Hamilton completes future races. These races include either the next race or all 18 remaining races. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.


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Lewis Hamilton What If?

Next Race - Australian Grand Prix at Albert Park

  Resultant
Points
Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)
40 18% 13% 11% 9% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 21%
Current Standings 15 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 48%
Lose Next Race
(24th Place)
15 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 55%


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 18
Remaining
Races
Resultant
Points
Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
1 465 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 285 > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 195 99% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% ^
6 159 85% 14% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
7 123 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
9 51 X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
11 15 X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
13 15 X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
15 15 X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
17 15 X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
19 15 X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
21 15 X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
23 15 X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
24 15 X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot


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