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Mon Mar 15 8:26 am

F1 Week 2 of 19 - Regular Season

Sebastian Vettel What If?

The Sebastian Vettel What If table presents probabilities of different F1 Driver Championship finishes depended upon how Sebastian Vettel completes future races. These races include either the next race or all 18 remaining races. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.

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Sebastian Vettel What If?

Next Race - Australian Grand Prix at Albert Park

	Resultant Points	Finishing Spot
	Resultant Points	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Win Next Race (1st Place)	37	16%	12%	10%	8%	7%	6%	6%	5%	5%	25%
Current Standings	12	6%	6%	5%	6%	5%	5%	5%	4%	5%	52%
Lose Next Race (24th Place)	12	4%	4%	4%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	4%	59%

Remaining Races

Finish for the 18 Remaining Races	Resultant Points	Finishing Spot
Finish for the 18 Remaining Races	Resultant Points	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
1	462	100%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
3	282	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	^	^	^	^	^
5	192	99%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	^
6	156	79%	19%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
7	120	5%	23%	36%	25%	9%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
9	48	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
11	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
13	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
15	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
17	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
19	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
21	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
23	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
24	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%

Notes
^ means the driver will finish better than this spot
X means the driver cannot win this spot
50% - probability the driver will win this spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the driver will win this spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot