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IRL Week 16 of 17 - Regular Season

Danica Patrick What If?

The Danica Patrick What If table presents probabilities of different IRL Driver Championship finishes depended upon how Danica Patrick completes future races. These races include either the next race or all 2 remaining races. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.


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Danica Patrick What If?

Next Race - Indy Japan 300 at Twin Ring Motegi

  Resultant
Points		 Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)		 350 X X X X X X X 3% 6% 91%
Current Standings 297 X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% 99%
Lose Next Race
(24th Place)		 309 X X X X X X X X X 100%


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 2
Remaining
Races		 Resultant
Points		 Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
1 403 X X X X X X X 60% 35% 5%
3 373 X X X X X X X < 1% 1% 99%
5 363 X X X X X X X X X 100%
7 355 X X X X X X X X X 100%
9 347 X X X X X X X X X 100%
11 341 X X X X X X X X X 100%
13 333 X X X X X X X X X 100%
15 329 X X X X X X X X X 100%
17 325 X X X X X X X X X 100%
19 323 X X X X X X X X X 100%
21 323 X X X X X X X X X 100%
23 321 X X X X X X X X X 100%
24 321 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot

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