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Mon Mar 15 8:26 am

IRL Week 2 of 17 - Regular Season

Raphael Matos What If?

The Raphael Matos What If table presents probabilities of different IRL Driver Championship finishes depended upon how Raphael Matos completes future races. These races include either the next race or all 16 remaining races. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.

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Raphael Matos What If?

Next Race - Honda Grand Prix of St. Petersburg at Streets of St. Petersburg

	Resultant Points	Finishing Spot
	Resultant Points	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Win Next Race (1st Place)	85	16%	11%	10%	8%	7%	6%	6%	5%	4%	27%
Current Standings	32	5%	6%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	54%
Lose Next Race (24th Place)	44	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	63%

Remaining Races

Finish for the 16 Remaining Races	Resultant Points	Finishing Spot
Finish for the 16 Remaining Races	Resultant Points	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
1	880	100%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
3	640	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	^	^
5	560	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
7	496	78%	20%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
8	464	29%	43%	22%	5%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
9	432	< 1%	5%	17%	31%	28%	14%	4%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	384	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2%	98%
13	320	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
15	288	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
17	256	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
19	240	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
21	240	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
23	224	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
24	224	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%

Notes
^ means the driver will finish better than this spot
X means the driver cannot win this spot
50% - probability the driver will win this spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the driver will win this spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot