PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 2 5:45 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 9 of 44

Ajaccio What If?

The Ajaccio What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Ajaccio What If?

Next Game - Marseille (6‑0‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 2 7 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 9% 11% 13% 50%
Current Standings 1 7 1 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 10% 12% 58%
Lose Next Game 1 8 1 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 10% 12% 60%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 9% 11% 13% 50%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 10% 12% 58%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 10% 12% 60%
Best Case Scenario
   Ajaccio beats Marseille
Worst Case Scenario
   Marseille beats Ajaccio
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
29 of 29 100% 30 7 1 91 24% 69% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 29 97% 29 8 1 88 11% 70% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 29 93% 28 9 1 85 5% 57% 34% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 29 90% 27 10 1 82 1% 37% 44% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 29 86% 26 11 1 79 <1% 18% 42% 30% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 29 83% 25 12 1 76 <1% 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 29 79% 24 13 1 73 <1% 2% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 29 76% 23 14 1 70 <1% <1% 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 29 72% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 29 69% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 29 66% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 29 62% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 29 59% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 29 55% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 29 52% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 29 48% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% <1% <1%
13 of 29 45% 14 23 1 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 31% 33% 15% 3% <1%
12 of 29 41% 13 24 1 40 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3%
11 of 29 38% 12 25 1 37 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 35% 32% 14%
10 of 29 34% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 36% 42%
9 of 29 31% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 21% 74%
8 of 29 28% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
5 of 29 17% 6 31 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 29 0% 1 36 1 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League Qualifiers