Is your favorite driver going to win the Monster Energy Cup Championship? The NASCAR Playoff Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different Monster Energy Cup finishing spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.
| Place | Driver | Wins | Points | Playoff Points |
Points Behind 1st Place |
Monster Energy Cup Finish | No Playoffs No POs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | ||||||
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 0 | 5000 | 0 | - | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | 0 | 5000 | 0 | - | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 | Joey Logano | 0 | 5000 | 0 | - | <1% | <1% | >99% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 | Kyle Busch | 0 | 5000 | 0 | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ^ |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 0 | 2010 | 0 | -2990 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 6 | Martin Truex Jr. | 0 | 2010 | 0 | -2990 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 7 | Kevin Harvick | 0 | 2009 | 0 | -2991 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 8 | Ryan Blaney | 0 | 2004 | 0 | -2996 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 9 | Kurt Busch | 0 | 2003 | 0 | -2997 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 10 | Aric Almirola | 0 | 2001 | 0 | -2999 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 11 | Alex Bowman | 0 | 2000 | 0 | -3000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 12 | Austin Dillon | 0 | 2000 | 0 | -3000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 13 | Clint Bowyer | 0 | 2000 | 0 | -3000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 14 | Daniel Suarez | 0 | 2000 | 0 | -3000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 15 | Jimmie Johnson | 0 | 2000 | 0 | -3000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 16 | Ryan Newman | 0 | 2000 | 0 | -3000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 17 | Paul Menard | 0 | 234 | 0 | -4766 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 18 | Erik Jones | 0 | 230 | 0 | -4770 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 19 | William Byron | 0 | 226 | 0 | -4774 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 20 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 0 | 223 | 0 | -4777 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 21 | Kyle Larson | 0 | 221 | 0 | -4779 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 22 | Ty Dillon | 0 | 202 | 0 | -4798 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 23 | Chris Buescher | 0 | 174 | 0 | -4826 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 24 | Ryan Preece | 0 | 160 | 0 | -4840 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 25 | Matt DiBenedetto | 0 | 149 | 0 | -4851 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 26 | Daniel Hemric | 0 | 132 | 0 | -4868 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 27 | David Ragan | 0 | 123 | 0 | -4877 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 28 | Bubba Wallace | 0 | 111 | 0 | -4889 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 29 | Corey Lajoie | 0 | 107 | 0 | -4893 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 30 | Michael McDowell | 0 | 95 | 0 | -4905 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 31 | Matt Tifft | 0 | 81 | 0 | -4919 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 32 | Landon Cassill | 0 | 62 | 0 | -4938 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 33 | Ross Chastain | 0 | 33 | 0 | -4967 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 34 | Parker Kligerman | 0 | 29 | 0 | -4971 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 35 | Reed Sorenson | 0 | 26 | 0 | -4974 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 36 | BJ McLeod | 0 | 23 | 0 | -4977 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 37 | Jamie McMurray | 0 | 19 | 0 | -4981 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 38 | Cody Ware | 0 | 18 | 0 | -4982 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 39 | Quin Houff | 0 | 15 | 0 | -4985 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 40 | Brendan Gaughan | 0 | 14 | 0 | -4986 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 41 | Tyler Reddick | 0 | 10 | 0 | -4990 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 42 | Stanton Barrett | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4998 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 43 | Casey Mears | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4999 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 44 | Garrett Smithley | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4999 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 45 | Ryan Truex | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 46 | 0 | -1040 | 0 | -6040 | X | X | X | X | 100% | |
| 47 | Bayley Currey | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 48 | D.J. Kennington | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 49 | Gray Gaulding | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 50 | Jeb Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 51 | Jeffrey Earnhardt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 52 | Joey Gase | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 53 | Justin Haley | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 54 | Timmy Hill | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5000 | X | X | X | X | 100% |