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Sun Apr 24 7:30 pm

NASCAR Regular Season - Week 10 of 26

NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to participate in the next round of the NASCAR Chase? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different qualifing Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.

NASCAR Chase Standings
Place  Driver Wins W Points Pts Points
Ahead 17th or
Behind 16th Place
Qualifing Chase Spot No Chase NC
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 Carl Edwards 2 331 119 33% 27% 20% 12% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 Jimmie Johnson 2 310 98 25% 27% 24% 14% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3 Kyle Busch 2 302 90 32% 25% 20% 12% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
4 Kevin Harvick 1 324 112 5% 9% 14% 21% 18% 13% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
5 Denny Hamlin 1 258 46 3% 5% 9% 14% 15% 16% 10% 8% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
6 Brad Keselowski 1 255 43 <1% 2% 3% 7% 13% 16% 14% 16% 16% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 Joey Logano 0 299 87 <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 11% 14% 11% 4% 3% 5% 8% 10% 8% 4% 1% 1%
8 Kurt Busch 0 279 67 <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 5% 9% 11% 7% 4% 4% 10% 13% 14% 10% 5% 3%
9 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 0 278 66 1% 2% 4% 7% 11% 11% 12% 12% 8% 4% 2% 4% 5% 6% 5% 3% 2%
10 Martin Truex Jr. 0 261 49 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 10% 10% 5% 4% 5% 10% 13% 12% 8% 8%
11 Austin Dillon 0 244 32 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 8% 6% 4% 4% 9% 13% 15% 13% 14%
12 Chase Elliott 0 234 22 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 7% 11% 15% 14% 28%
13 Jamie McMurray 0 224 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 3% 2% 2% 5% 11% 17% 51%
14 Kasey Kahne 0 222 10 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 6% 9% 6% 3% 2% 3% 6% 10% 44%
15 Ryan Newman 0 215 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2% 5% 8% 71%
16 AJ Allmendinger 0 214 2 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 5% 8% 8% 4% 2% 2% 3% 6% 52%
 
17 Matt Kenseth 0 212 -2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 5% 3% 2% 2% 3% 5% 70%
18 Trevor Bayne 0 197 -17 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 82%
19 Paul Menard 0 196 -18 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% 1% 86%
20 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 193 -21 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% 2% 76%
21 Ryan Blaney 0 187 -27 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 5% 3% 1% 1% 1% 74%
22 Kyle Larson 0 184 -30 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 6% 7% 6% 3% 2% 1% 2% 64%
23 Greg Biffle 0 167 -47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 3% 3% 1% <1% <1% 86%
24 Aric Almirola 0 165 -49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% 89%
25 Danica Patrick 0 148 -66 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% 92%
26 Casey Mears 0 141 -73 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% 92%
27 Landon Cassill 0 140 -74 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% 94%
28 Brian Scott 0 131 -83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% 93%
29 Clint Bowyer 0 126 -88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% 89%
30 Matt DiBenedetto 0 123 -91 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% 90%
31 Regan Smith 0 118 -96 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 95%
32 David Ragan 0 116 -98 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
33 Michael McDowell 0 110 -104 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 97%
34 Chris Buescher 0 97 -117 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
35 Michael Annett 0 87 -127 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
36 Brian Vickers 0 86 -128 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 5% 3% 1% <1% 72%
37 Cole Whitt 0 62 -152 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
38 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0 36 -178 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
39 Josh Wise 0 34 -180 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 Tony Stewart 0 22 -192 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% 90%
41 Michael Waltrip 0 12 -202 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
42 Bobby Labonte 0 11 -203 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
43 Reed Sorenson 0 11 -203 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
44 Robert Richardson Jr. 0 3 -211 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
45 Joey Gase 0 0 -214 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
46 Ryan Ellis 0 0 -214 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
47 Ty Dillon 0 0 -214 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot