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Mon May 30 2:30 am

NASCAR Regular Season - Week 14 of 26

NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to participate in the next round of the NASCAR Chase? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different qualifing Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.

NASCAR Chase Standings
Place  Driver Wins W Points Pts Points
Ahead 17th or
Behind 16th Place
Qualifing Chase Spot No Chase NC
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 Austin Dillon 0 346 252 30% 15% 18% 19% 12% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 AJ Allmendinger 0 300 206 17% 13% 14% 20% 19% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3 Ryan Blaney 0 276 182 18% 14% 7% 11% 17% 17% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
4 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 272 178 5% 6% 6% 14% 26% 23% 13% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
5 Paul Menard 0 237 143 2% 4% 2% 2% 10% 23% 27% 18% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
6 Aric Almirola 0 218 124 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 10% 22% 25% 18% 9% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 Clint Bowyer 0 200 106 4% 6% 5% 1% 1% 4% 12% 19% 20% 13% 7% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
8 Landon Cassill 0 194 100 2% 3% 2% 1% <1% 1% 6% 16% 23% 21% 14% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
9 Casey Mears 0 180 86 1% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 13% 20% 20% 14% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1%
10 Brian Scott 0 173 79 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 16% 21% 18% 13% 7% 4% 2% 1%
11 Regan Smith 0 159 65 1% 3% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 10% 12% 13% 13% 12% 10% 13%
12 Michael McDowell 0 150 56 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 16% 16% 17%
13 Matt DiBenedetto 0 149 55 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 11% 12% 13% 26%
14 David Ragan 0 147 53 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 17% 49%
15 Chris Buescher 0 122 28 <1% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 88%
16 Michael Annett 0 104 10 <1% 1% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
 
17 Cole Whitt 0 94 -10 <1% 1% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 93%
18 Brian Vickers 0 86 -18 6% 7% 8% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 11% 29%
19 Michael Waltrip 0 42 -62 3% 5% 6% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 11% 13% 13% 19%
20 Josh Wise 0 42 -62 <1% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
21 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0 38 -66 <1% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
22 Bobby Labonte 0 34 -70 <1% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 89%
23 David Gilliland 0 24 -80 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 18% 22% 18% 11% 6%
24 Reed Sorenson 0 20 -84 <1% 1% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
25 Robert Richardson Jr. 0 3 -101 <1% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
26 Kevin Harvick 1 429 325 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
27 Kyle Busch 3 394 290 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
28 Jimmie Johnson 2 392 288 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
29 Carl Edwards 2 390 286 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
30 Kurt Busch 0 385 281 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
31 Brad Keselowski 2 368 264 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
32 Martin Truex Jr. 1 363 259 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
33 Joey Logano 1 353 249 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
34 Chase Elliott 0 336 232 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
35 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 0 332 228 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
36 Denny Hamlin 1 310 206 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
37 Matt Kenseth 0 303 199 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
38 Jamie McMurray 0 298 194 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
39 Ryan Newman 0 294 190 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
40 Kasey Kahne 0 268 164 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
41 Trevor Bayne 0 261 157 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
42 Greg Biffle 0 232 128 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
43 Kyle Larson 0 231 127 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
44 Danica Patrick 0 208 104 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
45 Tony Stewart 0 104 - X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
46 Joey Gase 0 0 -104 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
47 Ryan Ellis 0 0 -104 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
48 Ty Dillon 0 0 -104 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot