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NASCAR Regular Season - Week 2 of 26

NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to participate in the next round of the NASCAR Chase? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different qualifing Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.


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NASCAR Chase Standings

Place Driver Wins Points Points
Ahead 17th or
Behind 16th Place
Qualifing Chase Spot No Chase
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 Joey Logano 1 47 22 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 10%
2 Kevin Harvick 0 42 17 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 52%
3 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 0 42 17 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 52%
4 Denny Hamlin 0 41 16 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 52%
5 Jimmie Johnson 0 40 15 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 52%
6 Casey Mears 0 39 14 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 53%
7 Clint Bowyer 0 37 12 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 53%
8 Martin Truex Jr. 0 37 12 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 53%
9 Kasey Kahne 0 35 10 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 55%
10 Greg Biffle 0 35 10 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 54%
11 David Gilliland 0 33 8 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 54%
12 Sam Hornish Jr. 0 32 7 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 55%
13 Michael Annett 0 32 7 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 55%
14 Austin Dillon 0 30 5 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 56%
15 Aric Almirola 0 29 4 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 55%
16 David Ragan 0 27 2 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 55%
 
17 AJ Allmendinger 0 25 -2 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 56%
18 Danica Patrick 0 23 -4 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 57%
19 Carl Edwards 0 22 -5 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 56%
20 Cole Whitt 0 22 -5 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 57%
21 Bobby Labonte 0 20 -7 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 59%
22 Paul Menard 0 19 -8 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 59%
23 Michael Waltrip 0 18 -9 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 58%
24 Jamie McMurray 0 17 -10 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 59%
25 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 15 -12 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 59%
26 Trevor Bayne 0 14 -13 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 59%
27 Jeff Gordon 0 13 -14 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 59%
28 Michael McDowell 0 13 -14 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 59%
29 Reed Sorenson 0 12 -15 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 60%
30 Kyle Larson 0 10 -17 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 60%
31 Matt Kenseth 0 9 -18 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 61%
32 Mike Wallace 0 8 -19 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 60%
33 Justin Allgaier 0 7 -20 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 62%
34 Ryan Newman 0 6 -21 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 61%
35 Brad Keselowski 0 3 -24 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 62%
36 Tony Stewart 0 2 -25 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 61%
37 J.J. Yeley 0 0 -27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
38 Johnny Sauter 0 0 -27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
39 Landon Cassill 0 0 -27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
40 Matt Crafton 0 0 -27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
41 Regan Smith 0 0 -27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
42 Ryan Blaney 0 0 -27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
43 Ty Dillon 0 0 -27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot