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Sun Aug 21 10:15 pm

NASCAR Regular Season - Week 24 of 26

NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to participate in the next round of the NASCAR Chase? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different qualifing Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.

NASCAR Chase Standings
Place  Driver Wins W Points Pts Points
Ahead 17th or
Behind 16th Place
Qualifing Chase Spot No Chase NC
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 Brad Keselowski 4 735 193 78% 22% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Kyle Busch 4 674 132 21% 77% 3% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 Kevin Harvick 2 762 220 1% <1% 52% 38% 9% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 Carl Edwards 2 689 147 <1% <1% 12% 33% 39% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 Denny Hamlin 2 659 117 <1% 1% 13% 7% 34% 34% 10% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 Matt Kenseth 2 619 77 <1% <1% 9% 4% 2% 27% 41% 15% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 Jimmie Johnson 2 612 70 <1% <1% 10% 5% 1% 17% 45% 19% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 Kurt Busch 1 692 150 <1% <1% <1% 5% 4% 1% <1% 31% 43% 13% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
9 Joey Logano 1 684 142 <1% <1% 1% 6% 7% 3% <1% 19% 44% 19% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
10 Martin Truex Jr. 1 645 103 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 4% 2% <1% 5% 66% 19% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
11 Tony Stewart 1 400 -142 X X 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 10% 3% <1% 24% 40% 19% 3% <1% <1% <1%
12 Chris Buescher 1 328 -214 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 1% <1% <1% 21% 32% 15% 2% <1% 26%
13 Austin Dillon 0 606 64 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 6% 24% 32% 19% 9% 4%
14 Chase Elliott 0 588 46 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 4% 7% 18% 24% 21% 17%
15 Ryan Newman 0 586 44 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 1% 6% 19% 28% 24% 18%
16 Jamie McMurray 0 583 41 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 2% 4% 13% 25% 30% 22%
 
17 Trevor Bayne 0 542 -41 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 2% <1% <1% 1% 6% 88%
18 Kyle Larson 0 537 -46 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 3% <1% <1% 1% 5% 83%
19 Kasey Kahne 0 537 -46 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% 4% 90%
20 AJ Allmendinger 0 528 -55 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% 1% 94%
21 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 514 -69 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
22 Ryan Blaney 0 508 -75 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
23 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 0 461 -122 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 6% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% 85%
24 Greg Biffle 0 441 -142 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 95%
25 Paul Menard 0 441 -142 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
26 Danica Patrick 0 432 -151 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
27 Clint Bowyer 0 407 -176 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
28 Aric Almirola 0 406 -177 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
29 Casey Mears 0 375 -208 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
30 Landon Cassill 0 355 -228 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
31 David Ragan 0 315 -268 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
32 Regan Smith 0 293 -290 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
33 Brian Scott 0 291 -292 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
34 Michael McDowell 0 288 -295 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
35 Matt DiBenedetto 0 234 -349 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
36 Cole Whitt 0 232 -351 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
37 Michael Annett 0 202 -381 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
38 Josh Wise 0 120 -463 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
39 Reed Sorenson 0 108 -475 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
40 Jeff Gordon 0 99 -484 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
41 Brian Vickers 0 86 -497 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
42 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0 73 -510 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
43 Bobby Labonte 0 51 -532 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
44 David Gilliland 0 46 -537 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
45 Michael Waltrip 0 42 -541 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
46 Boris Said 0 17 -566 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
47 Patrick Carpentier 0 11 -572 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
48 Alex Kennedy 0 5 -578 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Eddie MacDonald 0 5 -578 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 Robert Richardson Jr. 0 3 -580 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
51 Alex Bowman 0 0 -583 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
52 Dylan Lupton 0 0 -583 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
53 Jeb Burton 0 0 -583 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
54 Joey Gase 0 0 -583 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Justin Allgaier 0 0 -583 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
56 Ryan Ellis 0 0 -583 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
57 Ty Dillon 0 0 -583 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot