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NASCAR Regular Season - Week 13 of 26

NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to participate in the next round of the NASCAR Chase? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different qualifing Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.


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NASCAR Chase Standings

Place Driver Wins Points Points
Ahead 17th or
Behind 16th Place
Qualifing Chase Spot No Chase
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 Jimmie Johnson 3 393 97 44% 43% 9% 3% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
2 Kevin Harvick 2 473 177 51% 37% 8% 3% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
3 Joey Logano 1 407 111 1% 3% 15% 16% 13% 12% 14% 13% 8% 4% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
4 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 1 401 105 1% 5% 17% 17% 13% 11% 12% 11% 7% 3% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
5 Brad Keselowski 1 381 85 1% 2% 10% 13% 13% 11% 11% 14% 13% 8% 3% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
6 Matt Kenseth 1 372 76 1% 3% 10% 12% 13% 11% 10% 13% 14% 9% 4% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
7 Kurt Busch 1 327 31 1% 3% 12% 15% 15% 10% 10% 13% 12% 6% 2% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
8 Denny Hamlin 1 321 25 < 1% 2% 9% 9% 11% 13% 8% 4% 5% 10% 12% 9% 5% 2% < 1% < 1% < 1%
9 Carl Edwards 1 312 16 < 1% < 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 6% 3% 5% 15% 21% 18% 9% 3% 1% < 1% < 1%
10 Martin Truex Jr. 0 432 136 < 1% < 1% 2% 2% 3% 7% 8% 5% 2% 1% 2% 8% 15% 19% 15% 8% 3%
11 Ryan Newman 0 393 97 < 1% < 1% 2% 3% 3% 5% 8% 9% 6% 3% 1% 3% 9% 14% 14% 11% 9%
12 Jamie McMurray 0 353 57 < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 8% 8% 4% 2% 3% 7% 11% 13% 30%
13 Jeff Gordon 0 346 50 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 5% 4% 2% 3% 7% 12% 15% 38%
14 Kasey Kahne 0 345 49 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 6% 4% 2% 2% 5% 9% 15% 45%
15 Aric Almirola 0 339 43 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% 4% 12% 19% 55%
16 Paul Menard 0 336 40 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 6% 3% 2% 3% 7% 12% 51%
 
17 Clint Bowyer 0 296 -40 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 3% 5% 4% 3% 1% < 1% 1% 81%
18 Danica Patrick 0 292 -44 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 2% 1% < 1% 1% 86%
19 Greg Biffle 0 284 -52 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 1% < 1% 1% 3% 6% 6% 4% 2% 1% < 1% 74%
20 AJ Allmendinger 0 274 -62 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 4% 4% 4% 2% 1% < 1% 82%
21 Casey Mears 0 263 -73 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% < 1% 88%
22 Kyle Larson 0 256 -80 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% < 1% 1% 4% 7% 8% 5% 2% 1% 66%
23 Austin Dillon 0 253 -83 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% < 1% 93%
24 David Ragan 0 238 -98 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% < 1% 88%
25 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 234 -102 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 2% 4% 6% 5% 3% 1% 76%
26 Sam Hornish Jr. 0 230 -106 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 3% 4% 3% 2% 1% 86%
27 David Gilliland 0 224 -112 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% < 1% 94%
28 Justin Allgaier 0 208 -128 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 88%
29 Trevor Bayne 0 207 -129 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 1% < 1% 97%
30 Tony Stewart 0 202 -134 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 89%
31 Cole Whitt 0 193 -143 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% < 1% < 1% 97%
32 Brett Moffitt 0 174 -162 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 94%
33 Alex Bowman 0 149 -187 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
34 Michael Annett 0 149 -187 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
35 Josh Wise 0 125 -211 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
36 Matt DiBenedetto 0 119 -217 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
37 Michael McDowell 0 101 -235 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
38 Jeb Burton 0 53 -283 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
39 Alex Kennedy 0 48 -288 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
40 Bobby Labonte 0 38 -298 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
41 Kyle Busch 0 33 -303 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 90%
42 Brian Vickers 0 32 -304 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
43 Michael Waltrip 0 26 -310 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
44 Reed Sorenson 0 22 -314 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
45 Mike Wallace 0 8 -328 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
46 Ron Hornaday Jr. 0 2 -334 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
47 Brendan Gaughan 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
48 Brian Scott 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Chase Elliott 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 Chris Buescher 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
51 Erik Jones 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
52 J.J. Yeley 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
53 Jeff Green 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
54 Joe Nemechek 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Joey Gase 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
56 Johnny Sauter 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
57 Landon Cassill 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
58 Matt Crafton 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
59 Mike Bliss 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
60 Regan Smith 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
61 Ryan Blaney 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
62 Ty Dillon 0 0 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot