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NASCAR Eliminator Round - Week 2 of 3

NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to participate in the next round of the NASCAR Chase? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different qualifing Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.


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NASCAR Chase Standings

Place Driver Wins Points Points
Ahead 5th or
Behind 4th Place
Qualifing Chase Spot No Chase
1 2 3 4 5+
1 Jeff Gordon 0 4044 7 26% 25% 18% 12% 19%
2 Ryan Newman 0 4041 4 9% 18% 23% 21% 30%
3 Joey Logano 0 4040 3 19% 19% 18% 15% 31%
4 Matt Kenseth 0 4039 2 12% 16% 17% 16% 39%
 
5 Denny Hamlin 0 4037 -2 9% 10% 16% 17% 48%
6 Carl Edwards 0 4024 -15 5% 3% 5% 10% 76%
7 Brad Keselowski 0 4013 -26 11% 5% 2% 5% 77%
8 Kevin Harvick 0 4011 -28 8% 4% 1% 4% 82%
9 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 1 2196 -1843 X X X X 100%
10 Jimmie Johnson 0 2186 -1853 X X X X 100%
11 Greg Biffle 0 2178 -1861 X X X X 100%
12 Kyle Busch 0 2230 -1809 X X X X 100%
13 Kasey Kahne 0 2173 -1866 X X X X 100%
14 AJ Allmendinger 0 2198 -1841 X X X X 100%
15 Kurt Busch 0 2155 -1884 X X X X 100%
16 Aric Almirola 0 2124 -1915 X X X X 100%
17 Kyle Larson 0 981 -3058 X X X X 100%
18 Clint Bowyer 0 923 -3116 X X X X 100%
19 Austin Dillon 0 910 -3129 X X X X 100%
20 Jamie McMurray 0 906 -3133 X X X X 100%
21 Paul Menard 0 856 -3183 X X X X 100%
22 Brian Vickers 0 847 -3192 X X X X 100%
23 Marcos Ambrose 0 802 -3237 X X X X 100%
24 Martin Truex Jr. 0 773 -3266 X X X X 100%
25 Tony Stewart 0 741 -3298 X X X X 100%
26 Casey Mears 0 723 -3316 X X X X 100%
27 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 687 -3352 X X X X 100%
28 Danica Patrick 0 679 -3360 X X X X 100%
29 Justin Allgaier 0 576 -3463 X X X X 100%
30 David Gilliland 0 511 -3528 X X X X 100%
31 Cole Whitt 0 494 -3545 X X X X 100%
32 David Ragan 0 485 -3554 X X X X 100%
33 Michael Annett 0 481 -3558 X X X X 100%
34 Reed Sorenson 0 469 -3570 X X X X 100%
35 Alex Bowman 0 387 -3652 X X X X 100%
36 Josh Wise 0 387 -3652 X X X X 100%
37 Travis Kvapil 0 214 -3825 X X X X 100%
38 Michael McDowell 0 205 -3834 X X X X 100%
39 Ryan Truex 0 193 -3846 X X X X 100%
40 Terry Labonte 0 88 -3951 X X X X 100%
41 Jeff Burton 0 87 -3952 X X X X 100%
42 Michael Waltrip 0 76 -3963 X X X X 100%
43 David Stremme 0 75 -3964 X X X X 100%
44 Bobby Labonte 0 54 -3985 X X X X 100%
45 Parker Kligerman 0 54 -3985 X X X X 100%
46 Timmy Hill 0 53 -3986 X X X X 100%
47 Brett Moffitt 0 48 -3991 X X X X 100%
48 Alex Kennedy 0 47 -3992 X X X X 100%
49 Juan Pablo Montoya 0 47 -3992 X X X X 100%
50 Dave Blaney 0 46 -3993 X X X X 100%
51 David Reutimann 0 37 -4002 X X X X 100%
52 Boris Said 0 28 -4011 X X X X 100%
53 Nelson Piquet Jr. 0 18 -4021 X X X X 100%
54 Eddie MacDonald 0 9 -4030 X X X X 100%
55 Tomy Drissi 0 6 -4033 X X X X 100%
56 Clay Rogers 0 2 -4037 X X X X 100%
57 Blake Koch 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
58 Brian Scott 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
59 Corey LaJoie 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
60 J.J. Yeley 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
61 Joe Nemechek 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
62 Joey Gase 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
63 Johnny Sauter 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
64 Kyle Fowler 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
65 Landon Cassill 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
66 Mike Bliss 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
67 Mike Wallace 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
68 Morgan Shepherd 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
69 Regan Smith 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
70 Ryan Blaney 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
71 Sam Hornish Jr. 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
72 Trevor Bayne 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
73 Ty Dillon 0 0 -4039 X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot