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NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to win the Sprint Cup Championship? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different Sprint Cup finishing spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.


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NASCAR Chase Standings

Place Driver Wins Points Points
Behind 1st Place
Sprint Cup Finish No Chase
1 2 3 4 5+
1 Kevin Harvick 0 5043 - 100% ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Ryan Newman 0 5042 -1 X 100% ^ ^ ^
3 Denny Hamlin 0 5037 -6 X X 100% ^ ^
4 Joey Logano 0 5028 -15 X X X 100% ^
 
5 Jeff Gordon 0 2348 -2695 X X X X 100%
6 Brad Keselowski 0 2361 -2682 X X X X 100%
7 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 0 2301 -2742 X X X X 100%
8 Matt Kenseth 0 2334 -2709 X X X X 100%
9 Jimmie Johnson 0 2274 -2769 X X X X 100%
10 Carl Edwards 0 2288 -2755 X X X X 100%
11 Greg Biffle 0 2247 -2796 X X X X 100%
12 Kasey Kahne 0 2234 -2809 X X X X 100%
13 Kyle Busch 0 2285 -2758 X X X X 100%
14 Kurt Busch 0 2263 -2780 X X X X 100%
15 AJ Allmendinger 0 2260 -2783 X X X X 100%
16 Aric Almirola 0 2195 -2848 X X X X 100%
17 Kyle Larson 0 1080 -3963 X X X X 100%
18 Jamie McMurray 0 1014 -4029 X X X X 100%
19 Clint Bowyer 0 979 -4064 X X X X 100%
20 Paul Menard 0 944 -4099 X X X X 100%
21 Austin Dillon 0 958 -4085 X X X X 100%
22 Brian Vickers 0 921 -4122 X X X X 100%
23 Marcos Ambrose 0 870 -4173 X X X X 100%
24 Martin Truex Jr. 0 857 -4186 X X X X 100%
25 Casey Mears 0 782 -4261 X X X X 100%
26 Tony Stewart 0 799 -4244 X X X X 100%
27 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 757 -4286 X X X X 100%
28 Danica Patrick 0 735 -4308 X X X X 100%
29 Justin Allgaier 0 636 -4407 X X X X 100%
30 David Gilliland 0 554 -4489 X X X X 100%
31 Cole Whitt 0 532 -4511 X X X X 100%
32 David Ragan 0 531 -4512 X X X X 100%
33 Michael Annett 0 531 -4512 X X X X 100%
34 Reed Sorenson 0 516 -4527 X X X X 100%
35 Alex Bowman 0 412 -4631 X X X X 100%
36 Josh Wise 0 405 -4638 X X X X 100%
37 Michael McDowell 0 255 -4788 X X X X 100%
38 Travis Kvapil 0 214 -4829 X X X X 100%
39 Ryan Truex 0 193 -4850 X X X X 100%
40 Terry Labonte 0 88 -4955 X X X X 100%
41 Jeff Burton 0 87 -4956 X X X X 100%
42 Michael Waltrip 0 76 -4967 X X X X 100%
43 David Stremme 0 75 -4968 X X X X 100%
44 Brett Moffitt 0 60 -4983 X X X X 100%
45 Timmy Hill 0 62 -4981 X X X X 100%
46 Bobby Labonte 0 54 -4989 X X X X 100%
47 Parker Kligerman 0 54 -4989 X X X X 100%
48 Alex Kennedy 0 47 -4996 X X X X 100%
49 Juan Pablo Montoya 0 47 -4996 X X X X 100%
50 Dave Blaney 0 46 -4997 X X X X 100%
51 David Reutimann 0 37 -5006 X X X X 100%
52 Boris Said 0 28 -5015 X X X X 100%
53 Nelson Piquet Jr. 0 18 -5025 X X X X 100%
54 Eddie MacDonald 0 9 -5034 X X X X 100%
55 Tomy Drissi 0 6 -5037 X X X X 100%
56 Clay Rogers 0 2 -5041 X X X X 100%
57 Blake Koch 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
58 Brian Scott 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
59 Corey LaJoie 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
60 J.J. Yeley 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
61 Joe Nemechek 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
62 Joey Gase 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
63 Johnny Sauter 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
64 Kyle Fowler 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
65 Landon Cassill 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
66 Mike Bliss 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
67 Mike Wallace 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
68 Morgan Shepherd 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
69 Regan Smith 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
70 Ryan Blaney 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
71 Sam Hornish Jr. 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
72 Trevor Bayne 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
73 Ty Dillon 0 0 -5043 X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot