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NASCAR Contender Round - Week 1 of 3

NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to participate in the next round of the NASCAR Chase? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different qualifing Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.


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NASCAR Chase Standings

Place Driver Wins Points Points
Ahead 9th or
Behind 8th Place
Qualifing Chase Spot No Chase
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+
1 Brad Keselowski 0 3000 - 14% 12% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 8% 28%
2 Jeff Gordon 0 3000 - 14% 11% 12% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 20%
3 Joey Logano 0 3000 - 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 8% 27%
4 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 0 3000 - 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 25%
5 Kevin Harvick 0 3000 - 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 32%
6 Jimmie Johnson 0 3000 - 9% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 8% 32%
7 Matt Kenseth 0 3000 - 7% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 35%
8 Denny Hamlin 0 3000 - 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 40%
 
9 Kyle Busch 0 3000 - 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 45%
10 Carl Edwards 0 3000 - 5% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 38%
11 Kasey Kahne 0 3000 - 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 9% 9% 9% 46%
12 Ryan Newman 0 3000 - 2% 4% 7% 10% 12% 12% 11% 9% 32%
13 Greg Biffle 0 2072 -928 X X X X X X X X 100%
14 Kurt Busch 0 2073 -927 X X X X X X X X 100%
15 Aric Almirola 0 2061 -939 X X X X X X X X 100%
16 AJ Allmendinger 0 2077 -923 X X X X X X X X 100%
17 Kyle Larson 0 859 -2141 X X X X X X X X 100%
18 Clint Bowyer 0 817 -2183 X X X X X X X X 100%
19 Jamie McMurray 0 805 -2195 X X X X X X X X 100%
20 Paul Menard 0 781 -2219 X X X X X X X X 100%
21 Austin Dillon 0 779 -2221 X X X X X X X X 100%
22 Brian Vickers 0 765 -2235 X X X X X X X X 100%
23 Marcos Ambrose 0 702 -2298 X X X X X X X X 100%
24 Martin Truex Jr. 0 679 -2321 X X X X X X X X 100%
25 Casey Mears 0 653 -2347 X X X X X X X X 100%
26 Tony Stewart 0 639 -2361 X X X X X X X X 100%
27 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 613 -2387 X X X X X X X X 100%
28 Danica Patrick 0 597 -2403 X X X X X X X X 100%
29 Justin Allgaier 0 515 -2485 X X X X X X X X 100%
30 David Gilliland 0 446 -2554 X X X X X X X X 100%
31 Michael Annett 0 422 -2578 X X X X X X X X 100%
32 David Ragan 0 409 -2591 X X X X X X X X 100%
33 Cole Whitt 0 401 -2599 X X X X X X X X 100%
34 Reed Sorenson 0 395 -2605 X X X X X X X X 100%
35 Alex Bowman 0 345 -2655 X X X X X X X X 100%
36 Josh Wise 0 343 -2657 X X X X X X X X 100%
37 Ryan Truex 0 193 -2807 X X X X X X X X 100%
38 Michael McDowell 0 178 -2822 X X X X X X X X 100%
39 Travis Kvapil 0 173 -2827 X X X X X X X X 100%
40 Jeff Burton 0 87 -2913 X X X X X X X X 100%
41 Terry Labonte 0 77 -2923 X X X X X X X X 100%
42 David Stremme 0 75 -2925 X X X X X X X X 100%
43 Bobby Labonte 0 54 -2946 X X X X X X X X 100%
44 Parker Kligerman 0 54 -2946 X X X X X X X X 100%
45 Michael Waltrip 0 48 -2952 X X X X X X X X 100%
46 Alex Kennedy 0 47 -2953 X X X X X X X X 100%
47 Juan Pablo Montoya 0 47 -2953 X X X X X X X X 100%
48 Dave Blaney 0 46 -2954 X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Brett Moffitt 0 44 -2956 X X X X X X X X 100%
50 David Reutimann 0 37 -2963 X X X X X X X X 100%
51 Timmy Hill 0 32 -2968 X X X X X X X X 100%
52 Boris Said 0 28 -2972 X X X X X X X X 100%
53 Nelson Piquet Jr. 0 18 -2982 X X X X X X X X 100%
54 Eddie MacDonald 0 9 -2991 X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Tomy Drissi 0 6 -2994 X X X X X X X X 100%
56 Clay Rogers 0 1 -2999 X X X X X X X X 100%
57 Blake Koch 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
58 Brian Scott 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
59 Corey LaJoie 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
60 J.J. Yeley 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
61 Joe Nemechek 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
62 Joey Gase 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
63 Johnny Sauter 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
64 Landon Cassill 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
65 Mike Bliss 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
66 Mike Wallace 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
67 Morgan Shepherd 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
68 Regan Smith 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
69 Ryan Blaney 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
70 Sam Hornish Jr. 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
71 Trevor Bayne 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
72 Ty Dillon 0 0 -3000 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot