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NASCAR Regular Season - Week 26 of 26

NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to participate in the next round of the NASCAR Chase? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different qualifing Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.


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NASCAR Chase Standings

Place Driver Wins Points Points
Ahead 17th or
Behind 16th Place
Qualifing Chase Spot No Chase
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 Jeff Gordon 3 872 167 67% 31% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 3 851 146 14% 69% 18% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 Joey Logano 3 791 86 6% < 1% 57% 27% 10% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 Brad Keselowski 3 782 77 8% < 1% 20% 49% 20% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 Jimmie Johnson 3 766 61 6% < 1% 3% 22% 64% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 Carl Edwards 2 755 50 X X < 1% 1% 2% 59% 38% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 Kevin Harvick 2 748 43 X X < 1% 1% 3% 33% 62% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 Kasey Kahne 1 708 3 X X X X X < 1% < 1% 67% 32% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 Kyle Busch 1 657 -48 X X X X X X X 5% 49% 40% 6% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 Denny Hamlin 1 636 -69 X X X X X X X 5% 11% 52% 29% 2% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
11 Kurt Busch 1 614 -91 X X X X X X X 4% < 1% 6% 52% 30% 6% 1% ^ ^ ^
12 Aric Almirola 1 594 -111 X X X X X X X 3% < 1% < 1% 8% 37% 42% 10% ^ ^ ^
13 AJ Allmendinger 1 590 -115 X X X X X X X 2% < 1% < 1% 4% 30% 51% 13% ^ ^ ^
14 Matt Kenseth 0 794 89 X X X X X X X 3% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 69% 27% ^ ^
15 Ryan Newman 0 747 42 X X X X X X X 2% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 66% 30% 2%
16 Greg Biffle 0 728 23 X X X X X X X 2% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 7% 61% 30%
 
17 Clint Bowyer 0 705 -23 X X X X X X X 2% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 4% 93%
18 Kyle Larson 0 704 -24 X X X X X X X 3% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 5% 93%
19 Paul Menard 0 675 -53 X X X X X X X 1% 3% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 97%
20 Austin Dillon 0 674 -54 X X X X X X X < 1% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 99%
21 Jamie McMurray 0 666 -62 X X X X X X X < 1% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 99%
22 Brian Vickers 0 650 -78 X X X X X X X X 3% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 97%
23 Marcos Ambrose 0 628 -100 X X X X X X X X 1% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 98%
24 Casey Mears 0 583 -145 X X X X X X X X X X < 1% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 99%
25 Martin Truex Jr. 0 561 -167 X X X X X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 99%
26 Tony Stewart 0 540 -188 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% < 1% < 1% 98%
27 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 538 -190 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% < 1% < 1% 98%
28 Danica Patrick 0 500 -228 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% < 1% < 1% 99%
29 Justin Allgaier 0 443 -285 X X X X X X X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
30 Michael Annett 0 393 -335 X X X X X X X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
31 David Gilliland 0 392 -336 X X X X X X X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
32 David Ragan 0 370 -358 X X X X X X X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
33 Cole Whitt 0 353 -375 X X X X X X X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
34 Reed Sorenson 0 335 -393 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
35 Josh Wise 0 307 -421 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
36 Alex Bowman 0 304 -424 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
37 Ryan Truex 0 189 -539 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
38 Michael McDowell 0 166 -562 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
39 Travis Kvapil 0 144 -584 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
40 Jeff Burton 0 87 -641 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
41 Terry Labonte 0 77 -651 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
42 David Stremme 0 56 -672 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
43 Bobby Labonte 0 54 -674 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
44 Parker Kligerman 0 54 -674 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
45 Michael Waltrip 0 48 -680 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
46 Alex Kennedy 0 47 -681 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
47 Juan Pablo Montoya 0 47 -681 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
48 Dave Blaney 0 46 -682 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Brett Moffitt 0 44 -684 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 David Reutimann 0 37 -691 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
51 Boris Said 0 28 -700 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
52 Timmy Hill 0 22 -706 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
53 Nelson Piquet Jr. 0 18 -710 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
54 Eddie MacDonald 0 9 -719 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Tomy Drissi 0 6 -722 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
56 Blake Koch 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
57 Brian Scott 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
58 J.J. Yeley 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
59 Joe Nemechek 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
60 Johnny Sauter 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
61 Landon Cassill 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
62 Mike Bliss 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
63 Morgan Shepherd 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
64 Regan Smith 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
65 Ryan Blaney 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
66 Sam Hornish Jr. 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
67 Trevor Bayne 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
68 Ty Dillon 0 0 -728 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot