PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Jun 26 9:00 pm

NASCAR Regular Season - Week 17 of 26

NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to participate in the next round of the NASCAR Chase? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different qualifing Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.

NASCAR Chase Standings
Place  Driver Wins W Points Pts Points
Ahead 17th or
Behind 16th Place
Qualifing Chase Spot No Chase NC
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 Kyle Busch 3 452 70 49% 24% 16% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 Carl Edwards 2 510 128 13% 18% 17% 17% 19% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3 Brad Keselowski 2 506 124 14% 19% 15% 16% 19% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
4 Jimmie Johnson 2 469 87 12% 14% 16% 11% 12% 17% 13% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
5 Kevin Harvick 1 562 180 4% 7% 11% 15% 8% 6% 14% 19% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
6 Kurt Busch 1 527 145 2% 5% 6% 11% 10% 5% 10% 20% 20% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 Joey Logano 1 493 111 3% 4% 5% 7% 11% 10% 6% 10% 19% 17% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
8 Martin Truex Jr. 1 484 102 1% 2% 3% 4% 8% 10% 6% 10% 21% 23% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
9 Matt Kenseth 1 430 48 <1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 7% 10% 6% 5% 15% 23% 17% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1%
10 Denny Hamlin 1 421 39 1% 3% 4% 4% 3% 9% 13% 8% 4% 9% 15% 14% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1%
11 Chase Elliott 0 473 91 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 7% 9% 5% 4% 11% 20% 19% 11% 5%
12 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 0 413 31 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 5% 11% 9% 6% 6% 9% 10% 31%
13 Ryan Newman 0 412 30 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 2% 2% 7% 15% 21% 48%
14 Austin Dillon 0 410 28 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 6% 6% 5% 8% 14% 17% 36%
15 Jamie McMurray 0 398 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 3% 2% 3% 8% 16% 63%
16 Kasey Kahne 0 385 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 6% 4% 5% 8% 62%
 
17 Ryan Blaney 0 382 -3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 6% 4% 2% 3% 71%
18 AJ Allmendinger 0 375 -10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 4% 3% 2% 3% 80%
19 Trevor Bayne 0 362 -23 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% 89%
20 Kyle Larson 0 355 -30 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 8% 6% 3% 2% 68%
21 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 352 -33 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 92%
22 Paul Menard 0 325 -60 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% 94%
23 Greg Biffle 0 290 -95 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% 94%
24 Danica Patrick 0 288 -97 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 96%
25 Aric Almirola 0 278 -107 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 95%
26 Clint Bowyer 0 271 -114 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% 90%
27 Landon Cassill 0 249 -136 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 96%
28 Casey Mears 0 238 -147 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 97%
29 David Ragan 0 217 -168 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 98%
30 Brian Scott 0 205 -180 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 98%
31 Regan Smith 0 199 -186 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 98%
32 Tony Stewart 1 196 -189 <1% 1% 3% 3% 2% 4% 10% 11% 5% 1% 2% 8% 16% 17% 11% 4% 1%
33 Chris Buescher 0 193 -192 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
34 Michael McDowell 0 173 -212 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
35 Matt DiBenedetto 0 168 -217 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
36 Cole Whitt 0 140 -245 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
37 Michael Annett 0 129 -256 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
38 Brian Vickers 0 86 -299 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
39 Josh Wise 0 75 -310 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0 48 -337 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
41 Reed Sorenson 0 46 -339 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
42 Michael Waltrip 0 42 -343 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
43 Bobby Labonte 0 34 -351 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
44 David Gilliland 0 24 -361 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
45 Patrick Carpentier 0 4 -381 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
46 Robert Richardson Jr. 0 3 -382 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
47 Dylan Lupton 0 0 -385 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
48 Jeb Burton 0 0 -385 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Joey Gase 0 0 -385 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 Ryan Ellis 0 0 -385 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
51 Ty Dillon 0 0 -385 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot