PlayoffStatus.com

Wed May 1 2:30 pm

NASCAR Season Complete

NASCAR Playoff Probabilities

How far is your favorite driver going proceed into the NASCAR playoffs? The NASCAR Playoff Probabilities table provides the probabilities that a driver participates in different playoff rounds. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.

NASCAR Playoff Probabilities
Driver Wins Points Pts Playoff
Points
PO
Pts
Points
Behind 1st Place
Playoff Probabilities
Monster Energy Cup Champion Championship Race Participate Eliminator Round Participate Contender Round Participate Challenger Round Participate
Brad Keselowski 0 5000 0 0 100% ^ ^ ^ ^
Denny Hamlin 0 5000 0 - X 100% ^ ^ ^
Joey Logano 0 5000 0 - X 100% ^ ^ ^
Kyle Busch 0 5000 0 - X 100% ^ ^ ^
 
Chase Elliott 0 2010 0 - X X 100% ^ ^
Martin Truex Jr. 0 2010 0 - X X 100% ^ ^
Kevin Harvick 0 2009 0 - X X 100% ^ ^
Ryan Blaney 0 2004 0 - X X 100% ^ ^
Kurt Busch 0 2003 0 - X X X 100% ^
Aric Almirola 0 2001 0 - X X X 100% ^
Alex Bowman 0 2000 0 - X X X 100% ^
Austin Dillon 0 2000 0 - X X X 100% ^
Clint Bowyer 0 2000 0 - X X X X 100%
Daniel Suarez 0 2000 0 - X X X X 100%
Jimmie Johnson 0 2000 0 - X X X X 100%
Ryan Newman 0 2000 0 - X X X X 100%
Paul Menard 0 234 0 - X X X X X
Erik Jones 0 230 0 - X X X X X
William Byron 0 226 0 - X X X X X
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 223 0 - X X X X X
Kyle Larson 0 221 0 - X X X X X
Ty Dillon 0 202 0 - X X X X X
Chris Buescher 0 174 0 - X X X X X
Ryan Preece 0 160 0 - X X X X X
Matt DiBenedetto 0 149 0 - X X X X X
Daniel Hemric 0 132 0 - X X X X X
David Ragan 0 123 0 - X X X X X
Bubba Wallace 0 111 0 - X X X X X
Corey Lajoie 0 107 0 - X X X X X
Michael McDowell 0 95 0 - X X X X X
Matt Tifft 0 81 0 - X X X X X
Landon Cassill 0 62 0 - X X X X X
Ross Chastain 0 33 0 - X X X X X
Parker Kligerman 0 29 0 - X X X X X
Reed Sorenson 0 26 0 - X X X X X
BJ McLeod 0 23 0 - X X X X X
Jamie McMurray 0 19 0 - X X X X X
Cody Ware 0 18 0 - X X X X X
Quin Houff 0 15 0 - X X X X X
Brendan Gaughan 0 14 0 - X X X X X
Tyler Reddick 0 10 0 - X X X X X
Stanton Barrett 0 2 0 - X X X X X
Casey Mears 0 1 0 - X X X X X
Garrett Smithley 0 1 0 - X X X X X
Ryan Truex 0 0 0 - X X X X X
0 -1040 0 - X X X X X
Bayley Currey 0 0 0 - X X X X X
D.J. Kennington 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Gray Gaulding 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Jeb Burton 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Jeffrey Earnhardt 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Joey Gase 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Justin Haley 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Timmy Hill 0 0 0 - X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better
  • X means the driver cannot participate and/or win the playoffs
  • 50% - probability the driver will win or participate in the playoffs - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the driver will win or participate in the playoffs - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny