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Western Conference Playoff Picture

Where is your team going in the playoffs? The Western Conference Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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Western Winning Magic Numbers
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Western Conference Playoff Standings

  Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
Team Division W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nuggets Northwest 46 22 2% 34% 39% 17% 6% 2% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Jazz Northwest 44 24 < 1% 10% 12% 49% 19% 8% 1% < 1% < 1%
Thunder Northwest 41 25 < 1% 1% 2% 13% 25% 25% 19% 14% 1%
Trail Blazers Northwest 41 28 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 9% 20% 35% 33% 2%
Timberwolves Northwest 14 55 X X X X X X X X 100%
 
Lakers Pacific 50 18 97% 3% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Suns Pacific 42 26 < 1% < 1% < 1% 19% 32% 28% 14% 7% < 1%
Clippers Pacific 26 43 X X X X X X X X 100%
Kings Pacific 23 45 X X X X X X X X 100%
Warriors Pacific 19 48 X X X X X X X X 100%
 
Mavericks Southwest 46 22 1% 52% 45% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Spurs Southwest 40 26 < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 8% 16% 29% 40% 4%
Grizzlies Southwest 36 33 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 99%
Rockets Southwest 35 31 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 6% 93%
Hornets Southwest 33 36 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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