|Home >NCAA Football >BCS Bowl Participation Probabilities||Sun Dec 15 6:45 am|
Will your team play in one of the five BCS Bowl Games? The BCS Bowl Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that a team plays in either the Rose, Orange, Surgar, Feista, or national championship bowl game depended upon how the team plays its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games, winning all but one remaining games, current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Note the separator between ranked teams 13 and 14. Teams above this line should receive a bowl invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line should receive a bowl invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference championship.
New - So how well did we do in predicting who would play in one of the BCS Bowls? Our computer model correctly identified 8 of the 10 teams. Our computer model picked Arizona St. and Missouri as participates instead of Alabama and Oklahoma. These two picks were at large selections. We will be working to make the list more accurate next year.
NCAA Football Rankings
BCS National Championship Game
>BCS Bowl Participation
NCAA Football Schedule
NCAA Football Home
Data may change several
times on day of play
Bookmark site for easy return
BCS Bowl Participation Probabilities