The Most Important Games for the Western Illinois Leathernecks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Leathernecks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Western Illinois Leathernecks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Western Illinois Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Western Illinois (12‑8) vs South Dakota St. (11‑10) |
2 | Western Illinois Wins | <1% | 29% | 28% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| South Dakota St. Wins | <1% | 5% | 27% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | ||
| St. Thomas (14‑9) vs South Dakota (9‑12) |
0 | St. Thomas Wins | <1% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| South Dakota Wins | <1% | 18% | 28% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| UMKC (9‑13) vs Denver (12‑11) |
0 | UMKC Wins | <1% | 18% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Denver Wins | <1% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Oral Roberts (18‑3) vs Nebraska Omaha (7‑15) |
0 | Oral Roberts Wins | <1% | 18% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha Wins | 1% | 18% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| North Dakota St. (8‑13) vs North Dakota (7‑14) |
0 | North Dakota St. Wins | <1% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| North Dakota Wins | <1% | 19% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||