The Most Important Games for the BYU Cougars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cougars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. BYU Cougars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
BYU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| BYU (14‑9) vs St. Mary's (17‑4) |
59 | BYU Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 23% | 29% | 20% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 14% | 26% | 24% | 19% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Gonzaga (18‑4) vs Santa Clara (16‑7) |
13 | Gonzaga Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 28% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Pepperdine (7‑14) vs Loyola Marymount (15‑7) |
9 | Pepperdine Wins | <1% | 1% | 9% | 17% | 24% | 22% | 16% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 26% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| San Diego (10‑12) vs San Francisco (13‑8) |
6 | San Diego Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||