The BYU Cougars What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how BYU plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 16% | 29% | 29% | 19% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Current Standings | 6 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 26% | 28% | 21% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 19% | 27% | 27% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 25% | 29% | 24% | 15% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 14% | 26% | 28% | 21% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 31% | 30% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario St. Mary's beats Loyola Marymount BYU beats Pepperdine San Diego beats Santa Clara |
Worst Case Scenario Loyola Marymount beats St. Mary's Pepperdine beats BYU Santa Clara beats San Diego |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
5 of 5 | 100% | 11 | 5 | <1% | 27% | 72% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 5 | 80% | 10 | 6 | <1% | 2% | 74% | 23% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 5 | 60% | 9 | 7 | X | <1% | 23% | 56% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 5 | 40% | 8 | 8 | X | <1% | 2% | 26% | 48% | 23% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
1 of 5 | 20% | 7 | 9 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 18% | 55% | 25% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
0 of 5 | 0% | 6 | 10 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 61% | 19% | 1% | <1% |