The Most Important Games for the Middle Tenn. Blue Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Middle Tenn. Blue Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Middle Tenn. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Middle Tenn. (12‑14) vs Delaware (9‑17) |
43 | Middle Tenn. Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Delaware Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 23% | ||
| Louisiana Tech (15‑11) vs Kennesaw St. (15‑11) |
6 | Louisiana Tech Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 21% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 12% | ||
| Sam Houston (18‑8) vs Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (13‑13) |
2 | Sam Houston Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 11% | ||
| New Mexico St. (12‑13) vs UTEP (10‑16) |
1 | New Mexico St. Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 11% | ||
| UTEP Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Western Kentucky (15‑11) vs Liberty (23‑3) |
0 | Western Kentucky Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Liberty Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Missouri St. (13‑13) vs FIU (12‑14) |
0 | Missouri St. Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 11% | ||
| FIU Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 12% | ||