The Most Important Games for the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hilltoppers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Western Kentucky Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Western Kentucky (15‑11) vs Liberty (23‑3) |
13 | Western Kentucky Wins | X | 14% | 46% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | 5% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Liberty Wins | X | 2% | 29% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Delaware (9‑17) vs Middle Tenn. (12‑14) |
2 | Delaware Wins | X | 4% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | 5% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Middle Tenn. Wins | X | 4% | 33% | 23% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| FIU (12‑14) vs Missouri St. (13‑13) |
1 | FIU Wins | X | 4% | 33% | 24% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | 5% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | X | 5% | 32% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sam Houston (18‑8) vs Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (13‑13) |
1 | Sam Houston Wins | X | 3% | 36% | 22% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | 5% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | X | 8% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Kennesaw St. (15‑11) vs Louisiana Tech (15‑11) |
0 | Kennesaw St. Wins | X | 4% | 33% | 23% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | 5% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | X | 5% | 33% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UTEP (10‑16) vs New Mexico St. (12‑13) |
0 | UTEP Wins | X | 4% | 32% | 23% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | 5% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico St. Wins | X | 4% | 33% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||