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Sat Oct 10 7:00 pm

MAC Football - Week 7 of 13

Ohio Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Ohio Bobcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bobcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ohio Bobcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Ohio Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Ohio Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ohio
(4‑2)

vs
Sacramento St.
(1‑5)
21 Ohio Wins 36% 22% 14% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 33% 20% 12% 10% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Sacramento St. Wins 17% 19% 15% 11% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Central Michigan
(3‑3)

vs
Western Michigan
(4‑2)
2 Central Michigan Wins 38% 16% 12% 9% 7% 5% 5% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 33% 20% 12% 10% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Western Michigan Wins 30% 22% 13% 10% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
UMass
(4‑2)

vs
Buffalo
(3‑3)
2 UMass Wins 34% 20% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 33% 20% 12% 10% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Buffalo Wins 32% 20% 13% 10% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Ball State
(1‑5)

vs
Bowling Green
(2‑4)
2 Ball State Wins 33% 20% 13% 10% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 33% 20% 12% 10% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Bowling Green Wins 32% 20% 13% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Toledo
(4‑2)

vs
Eastern Michigan
(4‑3)
1 Toledo Wins 33% 21% 12% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 33% 20% 12% 10% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Eastern Michigan Wins 33% 19% 13% 10% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Akron
(1‑5)

vs
Miami OH
(3‑3)
1 Akron Wins 33% 20% 13% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 33% 20% 12% 10% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Miami OH Wins 33% 20% 13% 10% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant