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Sun Oct 4 12:00 am

SEC Football - Week 6 of 13

Texas A&M What If?

The Texas A&M Aggies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Texas A&M What If?

Next Game - Missouri (4‑1)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 2 2 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 1%
Current Standings 1 2 <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 11% 5%
Lose Next Game 1 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 12% 14% 14% 13% 7%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
6 of 6 100% 7 2 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 6 83% 6 3 <1% 1% 10% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 6 67% 5 4 X <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 31% 27% 14% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 6 50% 4 5 X X X X <1% <1% 2% 11% 25% 32% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1% ^
2 of 6 33% 3 6 X X X X X X X <1% 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2% <1%
1 of 6 17% 2 7 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 21% 37% 30% 7%
0 of 6 0% 1 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 9% 44% 45%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant