The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| SMU (5‑1) vs California (3‑4) |
20 | SMU Wins | 10% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California Wins | 2% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse (2‑4) vs North Carolina (4‑2) |
2 | Syracuse Wins | 9% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 8% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia (4‑3) vs Duke (4‑2) |
1 | Virginia Wins | 9% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duke Wins | 8% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech (5‑2) vs Clemson (4‑2) |
1 | Virginia Tech Wins | 8% | 19% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 8% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (5‑2) vs Miami (6‑0) |
1 | Pittsburgh Wins | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | 7% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State (3‑3) vs Stanford (3‑4) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | 8% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 8% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (3‑3) vs Georgia Tech (2‑4) |
0 | Boston College Wins | 8% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 8% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||