The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Pittsburgh (6‑3) vs Florida St. (4‑5) |
0 | Pittsburgh Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| North Carolina (5‑4) vs Louisville (6‑3) |
0 | North Carolina Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Virginia Tech (6‑3) vs Stanford (4‑5) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Stanford Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Miami (8‑1) vs Duke (7‑2) |
0 | Miami Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Duke Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| N.C. State (4‑5) vs Syracuse (4‑5) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 14% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 1% | ||
| SMU (7‑2) vs Wake Forest (8‑1) |
0 | SMU Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 12% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Clemson (6‑3) vs Georgia Tech (2‑7) |
0 | Clemson Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 3% | ||
| Virginia (4‑5) vs California (3‑6) |
0 | Virginia Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| California Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 23% | 12% | 2% | ||