The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Virginia (7‑1) vs California (5‑3) |
31 | Virginia Wins | 31% | 36% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| California Wins | 8% | 28% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Clemson (3‑4) vs Duke (4‑3) |
6 | Clemson Wins | 26% | 36% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Duke Wins | 26% | 30% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Tech (3‑5) vs Louisville (6‑1) |
4 | Virginia Tech Wins | 26% | 36% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Louisville Wins | 26% | 32% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| N.C. State (4‑4) vs Georgia Tech (8‑0) |
2 | N.C. State Wins | 41% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 20% | 38% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| SMU (5‑3) vs Miami (6‑1) |
1 | SMU Wins | 25% | 34% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami Wins | 25% | 33% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse (3‑5) vs North Carolina (2‑5) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | 25% | 33% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 26% | 32% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stanford (3‑5) vs Pittsburgh (6‑2) |
0 | Stanford Wins | 26% | 33% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 26% | 32% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest (5‑2) vs Florida St. (3‑4) |
0 | Wake Forest Wins | 25% | 33% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 26% | 33% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||