The Most Important Games for the Memphis Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Memphis Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Memphis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Memphis (12‑17) vs South Florida (21‑8) |
37 | Memphis Wins | X | X | X | X | 10% | 8% | 18% | 16% | 41% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 38% | 20% | 14% | ||
| South Florida Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 38% | 25% | 19% | ||
| Tulsa (23‑6) vs E. Carolina (11‑18) |
19 | Tulsa Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 40% | 20% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 38% | 20% | 14% | ||
| E. Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 29% | 16% | 30% | ||
| Tulane (17‑12) vs Temple (15‑14) |
16 | Tulane Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 55% | 15% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 38% | 20% | 14% | ||
| Temple Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 3% | 10% | 21% | 14% | 25% | 24% | ||
| North Texas (17‑13) vs Rice (12‑17) |
14 | North Texas Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 50% | 21% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 38% | 20% | 14% | ||
| Rice Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 10% | 29% | 12% | 15% | 26% | ||
| UAB (18‑11) vs Charlotte (15‑14) |
4 | UAB Wins | X | X | X | X | 5% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 38% | 19% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 38% | 20% | 14% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 15% | 39% | 20% | 14% | ||
| Wichita St. (20‑10) vs Florida Atlantic (17‑13) |
3 | Wichita St. Wins | X | X | X | X | 5% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 39% | 19% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 38% | 20% | 14% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 15% | 39% | 19% | 14% | ||