The Most Important Games for the North Texas Mean Green are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mean Green final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Texas Mean Green fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Texas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| North Texas (14‑11) vs Temple (15‑9) |
40 | North Texas Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 29% | ||
| Temple Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 18% | 26% | 36% | ||
| Texas-San Antonio (4‑20) vs Charlotte (13‑11) |
5 | Texas-San Antonio Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 29% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 30% | ||
| Tulsa (20‑5) vs Wichita St. (15‑10) |
3 | Tulsa Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 18% | 22% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 29% | ||
| Wichita St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 30% | ||
| South Florida (17‑8) vs Florida Atlantic (14‑11) |
2 | South Florida Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 29% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 30% | ||
| UAB (16‑9) vs Tulane (14‑10) |
1 | UAB Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 29% | ||
| Tulane Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 31% | ||
| E. Carolina (8‑16) vs Rice (11‑14) |
1 | E. Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 29% | ||
| Rice Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 31% | ||