The Most Important Games for the Rice Owls are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Owls final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rice Owls fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rice Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Rice (10‑14) vs Florida Atlantic (14‑10) |
23 | Rice Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 20% | 28% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 27% | 47% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 15% | 28% | 53% | ||
| Memphis (12‑11) vs North Texas (13‑11) |
8 | Memphis Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 29% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 27% | 47% | ||
| North Texas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 25% | 51% | ||
| Temple (15‑8) vs Tulane (13‑10) |
6 | Temple Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 28% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 27% | 47% | ||
| Tulane Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 14% | 27% | 50% | ||
| UAB (15‑9) vs Tulsa (20‑4) |
1 | UAB Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 28% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 27% | 47% | ||
| Tulsa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 16% | 27% | 47% | ||
| Wichita St. (15‑9) vs South Florida (16‑8) |
1 | Wichita St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 27% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 27% | 47% | ||
| South Florida Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 16% | 26% | 47% | ||
| Texas-San Antonio (4‑19) vs E. Carolina (7‑16) |
0 | Texas-San Antonio Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 16% | 28% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 27% | 47% | ||
| E. Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 27% | 47% | ||