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Thu Feb 2 12:30 am

American Athletic Basketball - Week 13 of 17

South Florida Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the South Florida Bulls are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulls final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Florida Bulls fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

South Florida Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
South Florida Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6 7 8 9 10 11
Memphis
(17‑5)

vs
Tulane
(14‑7)
0 Memphis Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 17% 32% 28% 10% 3%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 17% 32% 28% 11% 4%
Tulane Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 18% 32% 28% 11% 4%
Houston
(20‑2)

vs
Wichita St.
(11‑10)
0 Houston Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 18% 31% 27% 11% 4%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 17% 32% 28% 11% 4%
Wichita St. Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 12% 36% 30% 11% 4%
E. Carolina
(11‑12)

vs
Southern Methodist
(8‑15)
0 E. Carolina Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 18% 34% 23% 11% 4%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 17% 32% 28% 11% 4%
Southern Methodist Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 16% 31% 32% 10% 3%
UCF
(13‑8)

vs
Cincinnati
(15‑8)
0 UCF Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 18% 33% 27% 11% 4%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 17% 32% 28% 11% 4%
Cincinnati Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 18% 32% 27% 11% 4%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament