The Most Important Games for the Tulane Green Wave are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Green Wave final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Tulane Green Wave fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Tulane Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Tulane (15‑10) vs North Texas (15‑11) |
83 | Tulane Wins | <1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 10% | ||
| North Texas Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 23% | 15% | ||
| Texas-San Antonio (5‑20) vs Florida Atlantic (14‑12) |
7 | Texas-San Antonio Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 10% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 10% | ||
| E. Carolina (9‑16) vs Wichita St. (16‑10) |
6 | E. Carolina Wins | <1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 10% | ||
| Wichita St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 10% | ||
| South Florida (18‑8) vs Memphis (12‑13) |
6 | South Florida Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 10% | ||
| Memphis Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Temple (15‑10) vs UAB (16‑10) |
5 | Temple Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 10% | ||
| UAB Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 10% | ||
| Tulsa (20‑6) vs Charlotte (13‑12) |
0 | Tulsa Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 10% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 10% | ||