The Most Important Games for the Memphis Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Memphis Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Memphis Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Memphis (8‑1) vs Tulane (6‑2) |
40 | Memphis Wins | 32% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | 2% | 11% | 16% | 14% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte (1‑7) vs East Carolina (5‑3) |
2 | Charlotte Wins | 22% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina Wins | 21% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA (4‑4) vs South Florida (6‑2) |
1 | UTSA Wins | 20% | 17% | 18% | 10% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida Wins | 21% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Black Knights (4‑4) vs Temple (5‑4) |
1 | Black Knights Wins | 21% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Temple Wins | 19% | 15% | 17% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rice (4‑5) vs UAB (3‑5) |
1 | Rice Wins | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB Wins | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa (2‑6) vs Florida Atlantic (3‑5) |
1 | Tulsa Wins | 20% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||