The Most Important Games for the North Texas Mean Green are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mean Green final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Texas Mean Green fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Texas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| North Texas (8‑1) vs UAB (3‑6) |
45 | North Texas Wins | 28% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB Wins | 1% | 9% | 22% | 29% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic (4‑5) vs Tulane (7‑2) |
14 | Florida Atlantic Wins | 32% | 27% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | 23% | 22% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Navy (7‑2) vs South Florida (7‑2) |
9 | Navy Wins | 31% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida Wins | 18% | 25% | 25% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Memphis (8‑2) vs East Carolina (6‑3) |
6 | Memphis Wins | 26% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina Wins | 22% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA (4‑5) vs Charlotte (1‑8) |
1 | UTSA Wins | 24% | 24% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte Wins | 24% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||