The Most Important Games for the UTSA Roadrunners are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Roadrunners final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UTSA Roadrunners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UTSA Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Florida Atlantic (4‑5) vs Tulane (7‑2) |
0 | Florida Atlantic Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 17% | 11% | 31% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 24% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tulane Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 23% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| East Carolina (6‑3) vs Memphis (8‑2) |
0 | East Carolina Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 25% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 24% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Memphis Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 12% | 25% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UTSA (4‑5) vs Charlotte (1‑8) |
0 | UTSA Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 14% | 21% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 24% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 37% | 15% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Navy (7‑2) vs South Florida (7‑2) |
0 | Navy Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 24% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 24% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Florida Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 25% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UAB (3‑6) vs North Texas (8‑1) |
0 | UAB Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 19% | 12% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 24% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Texas Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 26% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||