The Most Important Games for the UTSA Roadrunners are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Roadrunners final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UTSA Roadrunners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UTSA Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UTSA (3‑3) vs North Texas (5‑1) |
5 | UTSA Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| North Texas Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 2% | ||
| UAB (2‑4) vs Memphis (6‑0) |
1 | UAB Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Memphis Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Black Knights (3‑3) vs Tulane (5‑1) |
1 | Black Knights Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Tulane Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Florida Atlantic (3‑3) vs South Florida (5‑1) |
0 | Florida Atlantic Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| South Florida Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Charlotte (1‑5) vs Temple (3‑3) |
0 | Charlotte Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Temple Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||