The Most Important Games for the Arizona Wildcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wildcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arizona Wildcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Arizona Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Arizona (23‑1) vs Texas Tech (18‑6) |
14 | Arizona Wins | 49% | 33% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 27% | 27% | 22% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kansas (19‑5) vs Iowa St. (21‑3) |
2 | Kansas Wins | 39% | 31% | 20% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | 45% | 31% | 14% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado (14‑11) vs BYU (18‑6) |
1 | Colorado Wins | 41% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| BYU Wins | 42% | 30% | 18% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kansas St. (10‑14) vs Houston (22‑2) |
0 | Kansas St. Wins | 52% | 25% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Houston Wins | 41% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| West Virginia (15‑9) vs UCF (17‑6) |
0 | West Virginia Wins | 43% | 30% | 17% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCF Wins | 42% | 30% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma St. (16‑8) vs TCU (15‑9) |
0 | Oklahoma St. Wins | 42% | 30% | 17% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| TCU Wins | 43% | 30% | 17% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cincinnati (13‑12) vs Utah (9‑15) |
0 | Cincinnati Wins | 42% | 30% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah Wins | 42% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||