The Most Important Games for the Cincinnati Bearcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bearcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cincinnati Bearcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cincinnati Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Cincinnati (14‑12) vs Kansas (20‑6) |
17 | Cincinnati Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 23% | 25% | 21% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa St. (23‑3) vs BYU (19‑7) |
4 | Iowa St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BYU Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 19% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah (10‑16) vs UCF (18‑7) |
2 | Utah Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCF Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Baylor (13‑13) vs Arizona St. (14‑12) |
2 | Baylor Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 23% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TCU (16‑10) vs West Virginia (16‑10) |
1 | TCU Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Virginia Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (16‑10) vs Colorado (14‑12) |
0 | Oklahoma St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 22% | 23% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 16% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas St. (11‑15) vs Texas Tech (19‑7) |
0 | Kansas St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Houston (23‑3) vs Arizona (24‑2) |
0 | Houston Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 24% | 20% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||