The Most Important Games for the TCU Horned Frogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Horned Frogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. TCU Horned Frogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
TCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| TCU (5‑4) vs Arizona (4‑4) |
14 | TCU Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Arizona Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 23% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (6‑3) vs Houston (6‑3) |
1 | Oklahoma St. Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Houston Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Texas Tech (7‑2) vs UCF (8‑2) |
1 | Texas Tech Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 19% | ||
| UCF Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Iowa St. (7‑1) vs Colorado (8‑1) |
1 | Iowa St. Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Colorado Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 19% | ||
| Arizona St. (8‑2) vs BYU (8‑2) |
0 | Arizona St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 19% | ||
| BYU Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Utah (7‑2) vs Baylor (7‑3) |
0 | Utah Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Baylor Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Kansas (8‑2) vs West Virginia (7‑2) |
0 | Kansas Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 19% | ||
| West Virginia Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Kansas St. (6‑3) vs Cincinnati (8‑1) |
0 | Kansas St. Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Cincinnati Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 19% | ||