The Most Important Games for the Hawai'i Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Hawai'i Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Hawai'i Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Hawai'i (10‑2) vs UC Riverside (6‑6) |
35 | Hawai'i Wins | 25% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| UC Riverside Wins | 17% | 20% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (5‑8) vs UC Irvine (7‑5) |
6 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 24% | 22% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 22% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| CSU Fullerton (5‑7) vs UCSB (8‑4) |
5 | CSU Fullerton Wins | 23% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| UCSB Wins | 22% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Cal Poly (5‑8) vs UC San Diego (10‑2) |
1 | Cal Poly Wins | 25% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | 21% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| UC Davis (5‑5) vs CSU Northridge (7‑5) |
1 | UC Davis Wins | 23% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 22% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||