The Most Important Games for the Hawai'i Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Hawai'i Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Hawai'i Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Hawai'i (7‑2) vs CSU Fullerton (3‑6) |
29 | Hawai'i Wins | 17% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | ||
| CSU Fullerton Wins | 12% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Long Beach St. (2‑7) vs UC San Diego (7‑1) |
4 | Long Beach St. Wins | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (4‑5) vs UCSB (7‑2) |
1 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 18% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | ||
| UCSB Wins | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 7% | ||
| UC Riverside (4‑5) vs Cal Poly (5‑5) |
1 | UC Riverside Wins | 17% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Cal Poly Wins | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 7% | ||
| UC Irvine (6‑4) vs CSU Northridge (4‑4) |
0 | UC Irvine Wins | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 7% | ||