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Thu Feb 2 6:30 am

Big West Basketball - Week 13 of 17

UC Davis Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UC Davis Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Davis Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UC Davis Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UC Davis Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10 NT
UC Riverside
(15‑7)

vs
CSU Fullerton
(12‑11)
6 UC Riverside Wins 1% 2% 6% 12% 22% 29% 28% 1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 6% 11% 21% 28% 30% 1% <1% <1% ^
CSU Fullerton Wins 1% 3% 6% 11% 19% 26% 34% 1% <1% <1% ^
UC Irvine
(14‑7)

vs
Long Beach St.
(12‑10)
5 UC Irvine Wins 1% 2% 6% 12% 24% 28% 27% 1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 6% 11% 21% 28% 30% 1% <1% <1% ^
Long Beach St. Wins 1% 3% 6% 11% 18% 28% 32% 1% <1% <1% ^
Cal Poly
(7‑15)

vs
Hawai'i
(16‑6)
1 Cal Poly Wins 1% 3% 6% 13% 20% 27% 29% 1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 6% 11% 21% 28% 30% 1% <1% <1% ^
Hawai'i Wins 1% 2% 5% 11% 21% 28% 31% 1% <1% <1% ^
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(6‑15)

vs
UC San Diego
(8‑15)
0 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins 1% 2% 6% 12% 21% 28% 29% 1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 6% 11% 21% 28% 30% 1% <1% <1% ^
UC San Diego Wins 1% 2% 6% 12% 21% 28% 30% <1% <1% <1% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament