The Most Important Games for the UC Davis Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Davis Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UC Davis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UC Davis (5‑4) vs CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (4‑6) |
30 | UC Davis Wins | 10% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | ||
| CSU Fullerton (3‑8) vs CSU Northridge (7‑3) |
5 | CSU Fullerton Wins | 9% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 9% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Cal Poly (5‑6) vs UC Irvine (9‑0) |
2 | Cal Poly Wins | 11% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 8% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Long Beach St. (4‑8) vs UC Riverside (6‑4) |
1 | Long Beach St. Wins | 9% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| UC Riverside Wins | 9% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Hawai'i (5‑3) vs UCSB (6‑3) |
0 | Hawai'i Wins | 9% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| UCSB Wins | 9% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||