The Most Important Games for the UC Davis Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Davis Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UC Davis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UC Davis (17‑12) vs Long Beach St. (9‑21) |
15 | UC Davis Wins | X | X | 3% | 13% | 43% | 25% | 13% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 2% | 9% | 35% | 22% | 20% | 12% | ^ | ||
| Long Beach St. Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 16% | 16% | 36% | 31% | ^ | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑22) vs CSU Northridge (18‑12) |
11 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | X | X | 3% | 17% | 32% | 17% | 20% | 12% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 2% | 9% | 35% | 22% | 20% | 12% | ^ | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | X | X | 2% | 7% | 36% | 24% | 19% | 11% | ^ | ||
| UC Irvine (20‑10) vs Cal Poly (13‑17) |
4 | UC Irvine Wins | X | X | 2% | 10% | 34% | 25% | 19% | 9% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 2% | 9% | 35% | 22% | 20% | 12% | ^ | ||
| Cal Poly Wins | X | X | 2% | 7% | 36% | 14% | 21% | 20% | ^ | ||
| CSU Fullerton (15‑15) vs UC San Diego (21‑9) |
1 | CSU Fullerton Wins | X | X | 5% | 7% | 29% | 14% | 25% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 2% | 9% | 35% | 22% | 20% | 12% | ^ | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | X | X | <1% | 11% | 39% | 27% | 16% | 6% | ^ | ||
| Hawai'i (21‑7) vs UC Riverside (10‑21) |
0 | Hawai'i Wins | X | X | 2% | 9% | 35% | 22% | 20% | 12% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 2% | 9% | 35% | 22% | 20% | 12% | ^ | ||
| UC Riverside Wins | X | X | 2% | 9% | 35% | 22% | 20% | 12% | ^ | ||