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Sun Feb 5 3:45 am

Big West Basketball - Week 13 of 17

UC Riverside Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UC Riverside Highlanders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Highlanders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Riverside Highlanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UC Riverside Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UC Riverside Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10 NT
UC Riverside
(15‑8)

vs
UC Davis
(13‑9)
6 UC Riverside Wins 15% 26% 23% 17% 12% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 13% 23% 21% 17% 13% 9% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
UC Davis Wins 7% 18% 20% 19% 16% 13% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^
UCSB
(18‑3)

vs
Long Beach St.
(13‑10)
1 UCSB Wins 11% 24% 23% 17% 13% 8% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 13% 23% 21% 17% 13% 9% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
Long Beach St. Wins 16% 21% 19% 16% 13% 10% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^
Cal Poly
(7‑16)

vs
UC Irvine
(14‑8)
1 Cal Poly Wins 13% 24% 23% 16% 12% 8% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 13% 23% 21% 17% 13% 9% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
UC Irvine Wins 12% 23% 21% 18% 13% 9% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(7‑15)

vs
CSU Northridge
(4‑19)
0 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins 13% 23% 22% 18% 13% 8% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 13% 23% 21% 17% 13% 9% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
CSU Northridge Wins 13% 23% 21% 18% 13% 8% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
UC San Diego
(8‑16)

vs
Hawai'i
(17‑6)
0 UC San Diego Wins 14% 25% 20% 16% 12% 8% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 13% 23% 21% 17% 13% 9% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
Hawai'i Wins 12% 22% 22% 18% 13% 9% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament