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Sun Dec 15 3:30 am

Big West Basketball - Week 6 of 18

UC Riverside Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UC Riverside Highlanders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Highlanders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Riverside Highlanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UC Riverside Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UC Riverside Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
UC Riverside
(6‑4)

vs
Long Beach St.
(4‑8)
26 UC Riverside Wins 16% 21% 17% 14% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2%
Current Probabilities 15% 20% 16% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 3%
Long Beach St. Wins 11% 18% 17% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(4‑6)

vs
UC Davis
(6‑4)
6 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins 16% 21% 16% 13% 11% 9% 7% 4% 3%
Current Probabilities 15% 20% 16% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 3%
UC Davis Wins 15% 20% 17% 13% 12% 9% 7% 4% 3%
CSU Fullerton
(3‑8)

vs
CSU Northridge
(7‑3)
3 CSU Fullerton Wins 16% 21% 16% 13% 11% 9% 7% 4% 3%
Current Probabilities 15% 20% 16% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 3%
CSU Northridge Wins 15% 21% 17% 13% 12% 9% 7% 4% 3%
UCSB
(7‑3)

vs
Hawai'i
(6‑3)
1 UCSB Wins 15% 20% 16% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3%
Current Probabilities 15% 20% 16% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 3%
Hawai'i Wins 15% 20% 16% 13% 11% 10% 7% 5% 3%
UC Irvine
(9‑1)

vs
Cal Poly
(5‑7)
0 UC Irvine Wins 14% 21% 17% 14% 11% 9% 7% 4% 3%
Current Probabilities 15% 20% 16% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 3%
Cal Poly Wins 17% 19% 15% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament