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Fri Dec 8 8:45 am

Big West Basketball - Week 5 of 18

UC Riverside Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UC Riverside Highlanders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Highlanders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Riverside Highlanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UC Riverside Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UC Riverside Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10 NT
UC Riverside
(4‑6)

vs
UC Irvine
(5‑3)
9 UC Riverside Wins 4% 7% 9% 10% 10% 11% 12% 13% 13% 11% ^
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 14% 17% ^
UC Irvine Wins 2% 4% 7% 8% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 18% ^
UC Davis
(3‑4)

vs
UCSB
(4‑3)
1 UC Davis Wins 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 12% 14% 17% ^
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 14% 17% ^
UCSB Wins 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 10% 11% 13% 14% 17% ^
Long Beach St.
(6‑4)

vs
CSU Fullerton
(5‑4)
1 Long Beach St. Wins 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 15% 16% ^
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 14% 17% ^
CSU Fullerton Wins 3% 6% 7% 9% 10% 10% 11% 13% 14% 17% ^
UC San Diego
(5‑4)

vs
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(4‑4)
0 UC San Diego Wins 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 15% 16% ^
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 14% 17% ^
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 14% 17% ^
Cal Poly
(3‑6)

vs
CSU Northridge
(6‑3)
0 Cal Poly Wins 3% 6% 7% 9% 10% 10% 11% 12% 14% 18% ^
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 14% 17% ^
CSU Northridge Wins 3% 5% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 12% 15% 17% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament