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Tue Jan 20 9:00 am

Big West Basketball - Week 12 of 18

UC Riverside Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UC Riverside Highlanders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Highlanders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Riverside Highlanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UC Riverside Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UC Riverside Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
UC Riverside
(7‑12)

vs
UC Irvine
(12‑7)
19 UC Riverside Wins <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 11% 14% 57%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 66%
UC Irvine Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 11% 71%
Hawai'i
(13‑4)

vs
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(8‑12)
1 Hawai'i Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 65%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 66%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 11% 67%
UCSB
(11‑7)

vs
Cal Poly
(7‑12)
1 UCSB Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 65%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 66%
Cal Poly Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 11% 67%
UC San Diego
(14‑5)

vs
UC Davis
(11‑7)
1 UC San Diego Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 65%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 66%
UC Davis Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 66%
CSU Fullerton
(8‑12)

vs
Long Beach St.
(8‑11)
0 CSU Fullerton Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 66%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 66%
Long Beach St. Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 13% 66%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament