The Most Important Games for the UC San Diego Tritons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tritons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC San Diego Tritons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UC San Diego Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UC San Diego (19‑9) vs CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑20) |
24 | UC San Diego Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | 26% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 8% | 25% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 11% | ^ | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 21% | 24% | ^ | ||
| UC Riverside (9‑20) vs UCSB (17‑11) |
9 | UC Riverside Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | 31% | 18% | 13% | 16% | 11% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 8% | 25% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 11% | ^ | ||
| UCSB Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 23% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 12% | ^ | ||
| CSU Northridge (18‑10) vs UC Irvine (18‑10) |
4 | CSU Northridge Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | 25% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 11% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 8% | 25% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 11% | ^ | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 25% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 11% | ^ | ||
| UC Davis (17‑11) vs Hawai'i (19‑7) |
2 | UC Davis Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 21% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 14% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 8% | 25% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | <1% | <1% | 8% | 29% | 24% | 19% | 12% | 9% | ^ | ||
| Long Beach St. (8‑20) vs Cal Poly (12‑16) |
1 | Long Beach St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 25% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 7% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 8% | 25% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 11% | ^ | ||
| Cal Poly Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 24% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 13% | ^ | ||