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Mon Dec 9 11:45 am

CCHA Hockey - Week 11 of 22

Bowling Green Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Bowling Green Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bowling Green Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Bowling Green Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Bowling Green Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Bowling Green
(5‑7‑2)

vs
Northern Michigan
(1‑14‑1)

2 Games Remaining
18 Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games 1% 9% 15% 19% 24% 20% 12% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 8% 14% 18% 23% 20% 14% 2%
Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games <1% 3% 8% 13% 23% 25% 22% 6%
Minnesota State
(12‑4‑2)

vs
Lake Superior
(8‑7‑1)

2 Games Remaining
3 Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games 1% 9% 14% 17% 23% 20% 14% 2%
Current Probabilities 1% 8% 14% 18% 23% 20% 14% 2%
Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games 2% 6% 11% 17% 26% 21% 15% 2%
Bemidji State
(8‑7‑2)

vs
Michigan Tech
(8‑5‑1)

2 Games Remaining
1 Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games 1% 9% 13% 18% 23% 20% 14% 2%
Current Probabilities 1% 8% 14% 18% 23% 20% 14% 2%
Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games 1% 8% 13% 16% 24% 21% 15% 2%


Bowling Green Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Bowling Green Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Bowling Green
(5‑7‑2)

vs
Northern Michigan
(1‑14‑1)
10 Bowling Green Wins 1% 9% 14% 18% 25% 20% 13% 1%
Current Probabilities 1% 8% 14% 18% 23% 20% 14% 2%
Northern Michigan Wins <1% 5% 10% 16% 24% 23% 19% 3%
Minnesota State
(12‑4‑2)

vs
Lake Superior
(8‑7‑1)
1 Minnesota State Wins 1% 9% 14% 18% 23% 20% 14% 2%
Current Probabilities 1% 8% 14% 18% 23% 20% 14% 2%
Lake Superior Wins 1% 8% 12% 17% 24% 21% 14% 2%
Bemidji State
(8‑7‑2)

vs
Michigan Tech
(8‑5‑1)
1 Bemidji State Wins 1% 9% 13% 18% 24% 20% 14% 2%
Current Probabilities 1% 8% 14% 18% 23% 20% 14% 2%
Michigan Tech Wins 1% 8% 13% 17% 23% 21% 15% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament