The Most Important Games for the Bowling Green Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bowling Green Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Bowling Green Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Bowling Green (16‑9‑7) vs Michigan Tech (21‑10‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
46 | Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 25% | 73% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan (3‑28‑1) vs Minnesota State (17‑9‑6) 2 Games Remaining |
21 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | 14% | 44% | 39% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | 2% | 14% | 84% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State (12‑17‑3) vs St. Thomas (18‑10‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 14% | <1% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | 3% | 14% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior (11‑20‑2) vs Ferris State (7‑25‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Lake Superior Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ferris State Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bowling Green Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Bowling Green (16‑9‑7) vs Michigan Tech (21‑10‑3) |
18 | Bowling Green Wins | <1% | 1% | 9% | 29% | 61% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan (3‑28‑1) vs Minnesota State (17‑9‑6) |
4 | Northern Michigan Wins | <1% | 2% | 14% | 4% | 80% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota State Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 84% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State (12‑17‑3) vs St. Thomas (18‑10‑4) |
1 | Bemidji State Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas Wins | X | X | 2% | 14% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior (11‑20‑2) vs Ferris State (7‑25‑1) |
0 | Lake Superior Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ferris State Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 83% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||