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Sat Nov 7 11:45 pm

CCHA Hockey - Week 6 of 22

Bowling Green Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Bowling Green Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bowling Green Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Bowling Green Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Bowling Green Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Bowling Green
(6‑4)

vs
Northern Michigan
(3‑7)

2 Games Remaining
11 Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games 26% 29% 27% 11% 5% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 23% 26% 25% 13% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games 14% 24% 29% 16% 10% 5% 2% <1%
Ferris State
(1‑5‑2)

vs
Augustana
(7‑0‑3)

2 Games Remaining
1 Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games 30% 23% 22% 12% 8% 4% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 23% 26% 25% 13% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Augustana Sweeps 2 Games 22% 27% 26% 13% 8% 4% 1% <1%
Lake Superior
(2‑4‑2)

vs
Michigan Tech
(6‑2‑2)

2 Games Remaining
1 Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games 24% 30% 21% 12% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 23% 26% 25% 13% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games 22% 26% 26% 13% 8% 3% 1% <1%
Bemidji State
(2‑6‑1)

vs
Minnesota State
(3‑5‑2)

2 Games Remaining
0 Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games 23% 27% 26% 12% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 23% 26% 25% 13% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games 23% 27% 25% 13% 8% 3% 1% <1%


Bowling Green Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Bowling Green Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Bowling Green
(6‑4)

vs
Northern Michigan
(3‑7)
6 Bowling Green Wins 24% 28% 26% 12% 6% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 23% 26% 25% 13% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Northern Michigan Wins 18% 26% 27% 15% 9% 4% 1% <1%
Lake Superior
(2‑4‑2)

vs
Michigan Tech
(6‑2‑2)
1 Lake Superior Wins 24% 28% 23% 13% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 23% 26% 25% 13% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Michigan Tech Wins 22% 26% 26% 13% 7% 3% 1% <1%
Bemidji State
(2‑6‑1)

vs
Minnesota State
(3‑5‑2)
0 Bemidji State Wins 23% 27% 26% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 23% 26% 25% 13% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Minnesota State Wins 23% 26% 25% 13% 7% 3% 1% <1%
Ferris State
(1‑5‑2)

vs
Augustana
(7‑0‑3)
0 Ferris State Wins 27% 24% 23% 13% 8% 4% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 23% 26% 25% 13% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Augustana Wins 23% 27% 26% 13% 7% 3% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament