PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Nov 1 10:45 pm

Conference USA Football - Week 11 of 14

New Mexico St. Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the New Mexico St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

New Mexico St. Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
New Mexico St. Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Liberty
(4‑4)

vs
Missouri St.
(5‑3)
0 Liberty Wins X X X <1% 3% 19% 32% 30% 12% 4%
Current Probabilities ^ X X <1% 1% 4% 20% 32% 30% 11%
Missouri St. Wins 4% ^ X X <1% 1% 4% 20% 31% 30%
Delaware
(4‑4)

vs
Louisiana Tech
(5‑3)
0 Delaware Wins X X <1% 1% 5% 19% 31% 30% 11% 4%
Current Probabilities ^ X X <1% 1% 4% 20% 32% 30% 11%
Louisiana Tech Wins 4% ^ X X X <1% 3% 21% 31% 30%
Middle Tenn. St.
(1‑7)

vs
Florida Intl.
(3‑5)
0 Middle Tenn. St. Wins X X <1% 1% 4% 27% 27% 24% 14% 3%
Current Probabilities ^ X X <1% 1% 4% 20% 32% 30% 11%
Florida Intl. Wins 4% ^ X X X <1% 4% 16% 32% 34%
UTEP
(2‑6)

vs
Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St.
(5‑3)
0 UTEP Wins X X <1% 1% 4% 18% 30% 32% 13% 4%
Current Probabilities ^ X X <1% 1% 4% 20% 32% 30% 11%
Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. Wins 4% ^ X X X <1% 3% 20% 33% 29%
New Mexico St.
(3‑5)

vs
Kennesaw St.
(6‑2)
0 New Mexico St. Wins X X <1% 1% 10% 30% 30% 20% 9% <1%
Current Probabilities ^ X X <1% 1% 4% 20% 32% 30% 11%
Kennesaw St. Wins 4% ^ X X X X 1% 15% 34% 34%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant