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MLB Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLB Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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MLB Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series World Series Winner World Series League Series Division Series Wildcard Series
Team League W L
Giants National 88 74   100% ^ ^ ^ ^
Royals American 89 73   X 100% ^ ^ ^
Orioles American 96 66   X X 100% ^ ^
Cardinals National 90 72   X X 100% ^ ^
Angels American 98 64   X X X 100% ^
Nationals National 96 66   X X X 100% ^
Dodgers National 94 68   X X X 100% ^
Tigers American 90 72   X X X 100% ^
Athletics American 88 74   X X X X 100%
Pirates National 88 74   X X X X 100%
Mariners American 87 75   X X X X X
Indians American 85 77   X X X X X
Yankees American 84 78   X X X X X
Blue Jays American 83 79   X X X X X
Brewers National 82 80   X X X X X
Braves National 79 83   X X X X X
Mets National 79 83   X X X X X
Marlins National 77 85   X X X X X
Padres National 77 85   X X X X X
Rays American 77 85   X X X X X
Reds National 76 86   X X X X X
Cubs National 73 89   X X X X X
Phillies National 73 89   X X X X X
White Sox American 73 89   X X X X X
Red Sox American 71 91   X X X X X
Astros American 70 92   X X X X X
Twins American 70 92   X X X X X
Rangers American 67 95   X X X X X
Rockies National 66 96   X X X X X
Diamondbacks National 64 98   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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