PlayoffStatus.com

Home >MLB >MLB Post Season Probabilities

MLB Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLB Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


MLB Home
MLB Schedule
MLB Playoff Schedule
> Post Season Probabilities

PlayoffStatus.com Home




Data may change several
times on day of play
Bookmark site for easy return

MLB Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series World Series Winner World Series League Series Division Series Wildcard Series
Team League W L
Cardinals National 51 26   22% 36% 56% 93% 99%
Royals American 44 31   12% 23% 43% 79% 85%
Astros American 47 34   9% 19% 38% 73% 80%
Dodgers National 45 35   8% 16% 37% 71% 77%
Nationals National 43 35   6% 13% 32% 69% 72%
Yankees American 42 37   6% 12% 23% 44% 54%
Pirates National 44 33   4% 9% 17% 40% 68%
Orioles American 42 36   4% 8% 17% 34% 44%
Blue Jays American 42 38   4% 8% 16% 32% 42%
Cubs National 41 35   4% 8% 15% 35% 63%
Giants National 42 37   3% 6% 15% 31% 41%
Rays American 42 38   3% 6% 13% 26% 36%
Twins American 41 37   3% 6% 12% 26% 36%
Angels American 41 38   3% 6% 11% 25% 34%
Mets National 40 39   2% 5% 11% 26% 31%
Rangers American 40 39   2% 5% 11% 24% 32%
Tigers American 39 38   2% 4% 8% 17% 24%
Braves National 37 41   1% 2% 6% 13% 17%
Diamondbacks National 37 41   1% 2% 4% 8% 12%
Indians American 36 41   1% 1% 3% 7% 11%
Mariners American 36 42   1% 1% 3% 6% 9%
Padres National 37 43   <1% 1% 3% 7% 10%
Red Sox American 36 44   <1% 1% 1% 3% 5%
White Sox American 34 42   <1% 1% 1% 3% 5%
Reds National 36 41   <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
Athletics American 36 45   <1% <1% 1% 2% 3%
Marlins National 33 46   <1% <1% 1% 2% 2%
Rockies National 34 44   <1% <1% 1% 1% 2%
Brewers National 32 48   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Phillies National 27 53   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot