PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Sep 18 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 27 of 28

MLB Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLB Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

MLB Post Season Probabilities
Record Rcrd Current Series World Series Winner World Series League Series Division Series Div Series Wildcard Series WC Series
Team League W L
Brewers NationalNat 94 59   21% 35% 60% >99% 100%
Blue Jays AmericanAmer 89 64   16% 31% 54% 97% >99%
Phillies NationalNat 91 62   16% 30% 60% >99% 100%
Yankees AmericanAmer 86 67   8% 16% 29% 63% >99%
Tigers AmericanAmer 85 68   7% 16% 34% 69% 95%
Mariners AmericanAmer 84 69   7% 16% 34% 67% 98%
Cubs NationalNat 88 65   7% 14% 27% 63% 100%
Astros AmericanAmer 84 69   5% 11% 25% 51% 88%
Dodgers NationalNat 85 67   5% 10% 24% 59% >99%
Padres NationalNat 83 70   3% 6% 15% 40% >99%
Red Sox AmericanAmer 83 70   3% 6% 13% 30% 73%
Guardians AmericanAmer 81 71   2% 4% 9% 19% 39%
Mets NationalNat 79 74   1% 3% 10% 25% 66%
Reds NationalNat 77 76   <1% 1% 2% 6% 15%
DiamondbacksD. Backs NationalNat 77 76   <1% <1% 1% 4% 10%
Giants NationalNat 76 76   <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Rangers AmericanAmer 79 74   <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
Royals AmericanAmer 76 77   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rays AmericanAmer 75 78   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Cardinals NationalNat 74 79   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Marlins NationalNat 73 80   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Athletics AmericanAmer 72 81   X X X X X
Orioles AmericanAmer 72 81   X X X X X
Braves NationalNat 70 83   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Angels AmericanAmer 69 84   X X X X X
Twins AmericanAmer 66 86   X X X X X
Pirates NationalNat 65 88   X X X X X
Nationals NationalNat 62 91   X X X X X
White Sox AmericanAmer 57 96   X X X X X
Rockies NationalNat 41 112   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot