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MLB Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLB Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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MLB Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series World Series Winner World Series League Series Division Series Wildcard Series
Team League W L
Red Sox American 97 65   100% ^ ^ ^ ^
Cardinals National 97 65   X 100% ^ ^ ^
Tigers American 93 69   X X 100% ^ ^
Dodgers National 92 70   X X 100% ^ ^
Athletics American 96 66   X X X 100% ^
Braves National 96 66   X X X 100% ^
Pirates National 94 68   X X X 100% ^
Rays American 91 71   X X X 100% ^
Indians American 92 70   X X X X 100%
Reds National 90 72   X X X X 100%
Rangers American 91 71   X X X X X
Nationals National 86 76   X X X X X
Royals American 86 76   X X X X X
Orioles American 85 77   X X X X X
Yankees American 85 77   X X X X X
Diamondbacks National 81 81   X X X X X
Angels American 78 84   X X X X X
Giants National 76 86   X X X X X
Padres National 76 86   X X X X X
Blue Jays American 74 88   X X X X X
Brewers National 74 88   X X X X X
Mets National 74 88   X X X X X
Rockies National 74 88   X X X X X
Phillies National 73 89   X X X X X
Mariners American 71 91   X X X X X
Cubs National 66 96   X X X X X
Twins American 66 96   X X X X X
White Sox American 63 99   X X X X X
Marlins National 62 100   X X X X X
Astros American 51 111   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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