The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Colorado St. (15‑10) vs UNLV (13‑12) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% | ||
| UNLV Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% | ||
| Air Force (3‑22) vs New Mexico (19‑6) |
0 | Air Force Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 37% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 82% | ||
| Nevada (16‑8) vs San José State (6‑19) |
0 | Nevada Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 22% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% | ||
| San José State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 95% | ||
| Wyoming (13‑12) vs Fresno St. (12‑13) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% | ||
| San Diego St. (18‑6) vs Grand Canyon (16‑9) |
0 | San Diego St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% | ||
| Utah St. (22‑3) vs Boise St. (15‑10) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 81% | ||