The Most Important Games for the Fresno St. Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fresno St. Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fresno St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Fresno St. (8‑14) vs San José State (15‑8) |
1 | Fresno St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 22% | 27% | 25% | 14% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 24% | 28% | 24% | 6% | ||
| San José State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 23% | 29% | 28% | 8% | ||
| UNLV (15‑8) vs Wyoming (7‑15) |
0 | UNLV Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 24% | 30% | 25% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 24% | 28% | 24% | 6% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 20% | 10% | ||
| Air Force (12‑12) vs Colorado St. (10‑14) |
0 | Air Force Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 14% | 24% | 30% | 22% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 24% | 28% | 24% | 6% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 7% | ||
| Utah St. (19‑5) vs San Diego St. (18‑5) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 23% | 28% | 24% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 24% | 28% | 24% | 6% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 24% | 27% | 23% | 6% | ||
| New Mexico (18‑4) vs Nevada (18‑6) |
0 | New Mexico Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 24% | 28% | 24% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 24% | 28% | 24% | 6% | ||
| Nevada Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 14% | 24% | 27% | 24% | 6% | ||