The Most Important Games for the San Diego St. Aztecs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aztecs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Diego St. Aztecs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Diego St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| San Diego St. (7‑2) vs Utah St. (9‑0) |
8 | San Diego St. Wins | 27% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 12% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force (3‑7) vs Boise St. (6‑3) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 21% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 21% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fresno St. (3‑7) vs UNLV (4‑4) |
0 | Fresno St. Wins | 20% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 20% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. (5‑4) vs Nevada (7‑2) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | 22% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 20% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||