The Most Important Games for the San Diego St. Aztecs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aztecs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Diego St. Aztecs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Diego St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| San Diego St. (7‑4) vs San José State (5‑7) |
9 | San Diego St. Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| San José State Wins | 5% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Fresno St. (6‑5) vs Utah St. (10‑1) |
1 | Fresno St. Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 5% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | ||
| New Mexico (9‑2) vs Boise St. (8‑4) |
1 | New Mexico Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 5% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Air Force (3‑9) vs Wyoming (9‑3) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 5% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Nevada (8‑3) vs Colorado St. (8‑3) |
1 | Nevada Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 5% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | ||