PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Feb 2 2:00 am

Mountain West Basketball - Week 13 of 17

UNLV Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UNLV Rebels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rebels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UNLV Rebels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UNLV Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UNLV Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6 7 8 9 10 11
UNLV
(15‑7)

vs
Fresno St.
(7‑14)
9 UNLV Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 33% 38% 12% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 31% 37% 13% 4% 1% <1%
Fresno St. Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 24% 37% 20% 10% 4% 1%
Colorado St.
(10‑13)

vs
Utah St.
(18‑5)
2 Colorado St. Wins <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 30% 35% 14% 5% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 31% 37% 13% 4% 1% <1%
Utah St. Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 31% 38% 13% 4% 1% <1%
Air Force
(12‑11)

vs
Nevada
(17‑6)
1 Air Force Wins <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 28% 34% 17% 5% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 31% 37% 13% 4% 1% <1%
Nevada Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 32% 38% 12% 4% 1% <1%
Wyoming
(7‑14)

vs
San José State
(14‑8)
1 Wyoming Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 38% 30% 12% 4% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 31% 37% 13% 4% 1% <1%
San José State Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 30% 38% 14% 4% 1% <1%
San Diego St.
(17‑5)

vs
Boise St.
(18‑5)
0 San Diego St. Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 31% 37% 13% 4% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 31% 37% 13% 4% 1% <1%
Boise St. Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 31% 37% 13% 4% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament