The Most Important Games for the Utah St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Utah St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Utah St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Utah St. (11‑1) vs San José State (5‑8) |
8 | Utah St. Wins | 35% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 34% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San José State Wins | <1% | <1% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Fresno St. (6‑6) vs Nevada (9‑3) |
1 | Fresno St. Wins | 37% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 34% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada Wins | <1% | <1% | 32% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Colorado St. (8‑4) vs Grand Canyon (8‑3) |
1 | Colorado St. Wins | 35% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 34% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | <1% | <1% | 33% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Air Force (3‑10) vs UNLV (6‑6) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 33% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 34% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | <1% | <1% | 34% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| New Mexico (9‑3) vs Wyoming (10‑3) |
0 | New Mexico Wins | 34% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 34% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | <1% | <1% | 34% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Boise St. (9‑4) vs San Diego St. (8‑4) |
0 | Boise St. Wins | 34% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 34% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 34% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||