The Most Important Games for the Utah St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Utah St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Utah St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Utah St. (6‑1) vs Air Force (6‑2) |
10 | Utah St. Wins | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Air Force Wins | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Colorado St. (8‑0) vs New Mexico (7‑1) |
1 | Colorado St. Wins | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Fresno St. (3‑4) vs San Diego St. (7‑1) |
1 | Fresno St. Wins | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| San José State (5‑4) vs Wyoming (4‑3) |
0 | San José State Wins | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||