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Sun Nov 10 2:15 am

Mountain West Football - Week 12 of 14

Fresno State Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Fresno State Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fresno State Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Fresno State Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Fresno State Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
San Diego State
(3‑6)

vs
UNLV
(7‑2)
0 San Diego State Wins X <1% 3% 11% 14% 32% 24% 10% 4% 1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 2% 18% 24% 26% 18% 8% 3% <1% <1% ^
UNLV Wins X <1% 1% 19% 25% 25% 18% 7% 3% 1% <1% ^
Wyoming
(2‑7)

vs
Colorado St.
(6‑3)
0 Wyoming Wins X <1% 4% 18% 20% 23% 14% 11% 8% 2% <1% ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 2% 18% 24% 26% 18% 8% 3% <1% <1% ^
Colorado St. Wins X X 1% 18% 24% 27% 19% 8% 3% <1% <1% ^
Boise State
(8‑1)

vs
San José State
(6‑3)
0 Boise State Wins X <1% 2% 20% 26% 26% 16% 7% 2% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 2% 18% 24% 26% 18% 8% 3% <1% <1% ^
San José State Wins X <1% 1% 13% 16% 25% 26% 14% 5% 1% <1% ^
Hawaii
(4‑6)

vs
Utah St.
(2‑7)
0 Hawaii Wins X <1% 1% 12% 28% 29% 17% 10% 3% 1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 2% 18% 24% 26% 18% 8% 3% <1% <1% ^
Utah St. Wins X <1% 2% 29% 16% 21% 21% 7% 3% <1% <1% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant