The Most Important Games for the Fresno State Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fresno State Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fresno State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Fresno State (5‑2) vs San Diego State (5‑1) |
22 | Fresno State Wins | 16% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| San Diego State Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Nevada (1‑6) vs Boise State (5‑2) |
2 | Nevada Wins | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Boise State Wins | 11% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. (4‑3) vs New Mexico (4‑3) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | 11% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 11% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. (2‑5) vs Wyoming (3‑4) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | 11% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 11% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||